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Will any Senator admit to a previously unknown act of adultery by June 1 2010?

Background: Within the recent past, the American public has been rattled by the adulterous experiences of a few Senators. Larry Craig was caught solicting sex in an airport mens room. David Vitter was found to have an interest in prostitutes. And now John Ensign has admitted to having an affair.

Will any Senator admit to a new (previously unknown) act of adultery by June 1 2010? To settle as Yes, the Senator must have been married at the time of the event(s). The act of adultery can included, but is not limited to, affairs or prostitution scandals.

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Yes
59%
No
41%
Question suspends in 23 weeks

Suspend date: Sat 1st May 2010 11pm PST (23 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 47%

Action history:

Created Thu 18th Jun 1:15am PST by tarpash

Suspend date: Sat 1st May 2010 11pm PST (23 weeks to go) details

 

Predictions (12)

14 weeks ago
jbreed predicted Yes (H$400 at 59%)
22 weeks ago
lcsnor predicted No (H$100 at 42%)
22 weeks ago
ryanj predicted Yes (H$300 at 58%)
22 weeks ago
frogchop predicted Yes (H$1,000 at 56%)
22 weeks ago
cheesenips predicted Yes (H$100 at 55%)

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