Created Thu 18th Jun 5:26am PST by

carnacthemagnificent Level 14, Prophet (H$172,629)

What will Mir Hussein Mussavi be doing on Sept 20, 2009?

Settled as Living in Iran. Not the President of Iran

Background: September 20, 2009 is the holiday of Eid-e Fetr, the end of Ramadan.

What will presidential opposition candidate Mir Hussein Mussavi be doing on that date?

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Forecast history %

Living in Iran. Not the President of Iran

99%

President of Iran

Living outside of Iran

Other

Settled as Living in Iran. Not the President of Iran on Thu 24th Sep 1:55am PST

Activity: H$72,627
Predictions: 74
Comments: 3

Suspend date: Sun 20th Sep 3:59pm PST
Settlement date: Thu 24th Sep 1:55am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sun 20th Sep 3:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Living in Iran. Not the President of Iran: 80%, President of Iran: 10%, Living outside of Iran: 8%, Other: 2%

Action history:

Created Thu 18th Jun 5:26am PST by

carnacthemagnificent Level 14, Prophet (H$172,629)

Settlement requested Sun 20th Sep 3:55am PST by

carnacthemagnificent Level 14, Prophet (H$172,629)

: Settle as " Living in Iran. Not the President of Iran"

Suspended Sun 20th Sep 1:04pm PST by

onedave [Power User]

: Flagged by super user: Suspending. It is already September 21 in Iran.

Settlement requested Sun 20th Sep 10:08pm PST by

nyharel Level 13, Psychic (H$94,454)

: The suspend date has passed, and I have not hear any news of Mussavi leaving Iran, or becoming the president of Iran.

Settlement requested Wed 23rd Sep 11:47pm PST by

nyharel Level 13, Psychic (H$94,454)

: Please let my money go....

Settled as 'Living in Iran. Not the President of Iran' Thu 24th Sep 1:55am PST by

sqlman [Admin]

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Predictions (74)

8 weeks ago

nyharel Level 13, Psychic (H$94,454)

predicted Living in Iran. Not the President of Iran (H$7,279 at 98%)

9 weeks ago

keyeshoveden [Power User]

predicted Living in Iran. Not the President of Iran (H$10,000 at 98%)

10 weeks ago

giladbarkai Level 5, Predictor (H$1,573)

predicted Living in Iran. Not the President of Iran (H$685 at 96%)

12 weeks ago

nyharel Level 13, Psychic (H$94,454)

predicted Living in Iran. Not the President of Iran (H$500 at 95%)

12 weeks ago

nyharel Level 13, Psychic (H$94,454)

predicted Living in Iran. Not the President of Iran (H$1,000 at 95%)

Comments (3)

carnacthemagnificent Level 14, Prophet (H$172,629)

"Living outside of Iran" means his permanent residence has changed. If he happens to be outside of Iran on a short term visit -- as a state representative or as a tourist -- on Sept. 20, this question would be settled as one of the first two alternatives.

posted 20 weeks ago