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How long will Henry Allingham hold the title as the world's oldest man?

Voided

Markets which settle based on the deaths of individuals or groups of individuals are banned on Hubdub

Background:

Background: LONDON (Reuters Life!) - British World War One veteran Henry Allingham is the world's oldest man at 113 following the death of the previous holder of the title, Japan's Tomoji Tanabe, Guinness World Records said on Friday.

"Henry Allingham is now officially the oldest man in the world," said a spokeswoman for the organization widely recognized as the authority on record-breakers.

Tanabe, who ate mostly vegetables and believed the key to his longevity was not drinking alcohol, died on Friday aged 113 and had held the record for the oldest living male since January, 2007.

Allingham was born in London on June 6, 1896, and took the British title on January 19, 2007 aged 110 years 227 days, Guinness World Records said in a statement.

"We're pleased to see an English man take the world record -- the last time someone from England held the title was Frederick Butterfield, who died on March 9, 1974, aged 110," said Craig Glenday, Editor-in-Chief of Guinness World Records.

Allingham is one of only two surviving World War One veterans in the United Kingdom and the last surviving founder member of the Royal Air Force, according to British media.

His friend and chaperone, Dennis Goodwin, said: "It's staggering. He is philosophical. He will take it in his stride, like he does everything else."

Allingham's life has spanned three centuries and six monarchs, starting with Queen Victoria. He has five grandchildren, 12 great-grandchildren, 14 great-great grandchildren and one great-great-great grandchild.

Guinness World Records said the oldest living person is American Gertrude Baines, 115, who was born on April 6, 1894.http://news.yahoo.com/s/nm/20090619/lf_nm_life/us_britain_oldest

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Has title for 1-3 months
20%
Has title for 4-6 months
20%
Has title for 7-9 months
20%
Has title for 10-12 months
20%
No new by settlement date
20%
Voided Sat 20th Jun 8:16pm PST

Suspend date: Sat 19th Jun 2010 11:59pm PST (30 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Has title for 1-3 months: 20%, Has title for 4-6 months: 20%, Has title for 7-9 months: 20%, Has title for 10-12 months: 20%, No new by settlement date: 20%

Action history:

Created Fri 19th Jun 8:23am PST by blacksoapman
Suspended Sat 20th Jun 3:09pm PST by tisha[Admin]: This appears to be a death market.
Voided Sat 20th Jun 8:16pm PST by ryanj: Markets which settle based on the deaths of individuals or groups of individuals are banned on Hubdub

Suspend date: Sat 19th Jun 2010 11:59pm PST (30 weeks to go) details

 

Predictions (6)

22 weeks ago
ajmitchell predicted No new by settlement date (H$50 at 21%)
22 weeks ago
charlesf predicted No new by settlement date (H$50 at 21%)
22 weeks ago
cici predicted Has title for 1-3 months (H$50 at 20%)
22 weeks ago
lcsnor predicted No new by settlement date (H$50 at 20%)

Comments (10)

  1 charlesf
I hope the Death Police don't over react to this question. I went for the last choice. Guess I'm an optimist.
posted 22 weeks ago
  2 paddy112
Love the question!
posted 22 weeks ago
Thanks
posted 22 weeks ago
ahhhh.... this reeks of death pool
posted 22 weeks ago
  5 cici
It strikes me more as a life market than a death market.
posted 21 weeks ago
I don't think it's a death market there are many way's to lose a title
posted 21 weeks ago
Yeah, maybe someone finds Obama's birth certificate and we learn the secret he's been hiding all along is that he looks extremely young for his age ;-)
posted 21 weeks ago
Good point... you notice how they keep dyeing his hair black - who knows how old he really is!

(Unsubstantiated rumor has it that the way Michelle tricked him into marriage was by bribing someone to sneak the words "I do" onto his teleprompter!)
posted 21 weeks ago
  9 kruijs[Power User]
notablenotices,
that's what former German chancellor Schröder did, and what (amongst plastic surgery) Berlusconi still does: More about that here: http://blogs.independent.co.uk/independent/2008/04/silvios-hair.html

and about that teleprompter: you might say what you want, Obama is a charismatic speaker. but his switching from left to right and back makes me dizzy too.
posted 21 weeks ago

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