How well will Hollywood's top movies do during the weekend of July 24?

Settled as Down $1-$35,000,000 compared to prior weekend

Jul. 24-26 $141,528,932 -7.0% G-Force 30
Jul. 17-19 $152,113,223 +12.8% Harry Potter 6 29

Background:

Background: The question here is how much better or worse will the top twelve grossing movies do on the weekend in question compared to the prior weekend.

Will the upcoming weekend do substantially better, or will box office grosses take a dive because of a big bomb.

Weekend movie grosses can vary widely - sometimes the top twelve movies in one weekend can gross $70,000,000 more (or $70,000,000 less) compared to the weekend just before it.

Settlement details:As reported at http://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/ on the Monday evening following the weekend. (For consistency, this question will be based only on a Friday - Sunday weekend.)

Forecast history %

Up more than $35,000,000 compared to prior weekend

Up $0 - $35,000,000 compared to prior weekend

Down $1-$35,000,000 compared to prior weekend

94%

Down more than $35,000,000 compared to prior wkend

Settled as Down $1-$35,000,000 compared to prior weekend on Tue 28th Jul 2:45am PST

Activity: H$30,061
Predictions: 30
Comments: 0

Suspend date: Sat 25th Jul 2pm PST
Settlement date: Tue 28th Jul 2:45am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 25th Jul 2pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Up more than $35,000,000 compared to prior weekend: 20%, Up $0 - $35,000,000 compared to prior weekend: 30%, Down $1-$35,000,000 compared to prior weekend: 30%, Down more than $35,000,000 compared to prior wkend: 20%

Action history:

Created Tue 23rd Jun 8:11am PST by

jeopardy Level 13, Psychic (H$76,479)

Suspended Sat 25th Jul 2pm PST : Suspend date reached

Settlement requested Tue 28th Jul 1:03am PST by

w2009