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Will the abortion rate in England and Wales for 2009 be higher or lower than it was in in 2008?

Background: Key Facts
In 2008, for women residents in England and Wales:

The total number of abortions in 2008 was 195,296, compared with 198,499 in 2007, a fall of 1.6%
Do you think this tread will continue for this year 2009 or not or is it possible that they stay the same?

Settlement details:http://www.dh.gov.uk/en/Publicationsandstatistics/Publications/PublicationsStatistics/DH_099285
Figures released annually. Last figures released on 21may 2009 so I'm assuming the 2010 figures will be released on 21may 2010 if not when they are released.
As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Higher than 08 figure of 198,499 abortions?
51%
Lower than 08 figure of 198,499 abortions?
47%
Or the exact same?
2%
Question suspends in 25 weeks

Suspend date: Fri 21st May 2010 11:59pm PST (25 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Higher than 08 figure of 198,499 abortions?: 49%, Lower than 08 figure of 198,499 abortions?: 49%, Or the exact same?: 2%

Action history:

Created Tue 23rd Jun 1:49pm PST by onthelang
Settlement requested Fri 26th Jun 5:56pm PST by onthelang: Hi is it possible to change the following please:
I said :
Higher than 09 figure of 198,499 abortions?
Lower than 09 figure of 198,499 abortions?
Its supposed to be 08 figures for both
Thanks
john

Suspend date: Fri 21st May 2010 11:59pm PST (25 weeks to go) details

 

Predictions (7)

2 weeks ago
steveb predicted Higher than 08 figure of 198,499 abortions? (H$200 at 50%)
2 weeks ago
cmcooper63 predicted Higher than 08 figure of 198,499 abortions? (H$100 at 48%)
11 weeks ago
oocares predicted Lower than 08 figure of 198,499 abortions? (H$100 at 50%)
15 weeks ago
grothendieck predicted Lower than 08 figure of 198,499 abortions? (H$50 at 49%)
15 weeks ago
grothendieck predicted Lower than 08 figure of 198,499 abortions? (H$20 at 49%)

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