Created Wed 24th Jun 2009 1:08am PST by

Will Falcon 1 launch on July 13?

Settled as Yes

A Malaysian satellite rode a Falcon 1 rocket into orbit Monday night, marking the first time the privately-developed booster has successfully launched an operational spacecraft.
http://www.spaceflightnow.com/falcon/005/

Background:

Background: The fifth (and second operational) flight of the SpaceX Falcon 1 rocket will launch the RazakSat Earth-imaging spacecraft for Malaysia. The satellite with a total mass of 180 kg also features the name MACSat, or Medium-sized Aperture Camera Satellite. Delayed from April 20.
Falcon 1 has a history of many delayed and scrubbed launches, putting the odds for a "yes" option even lower.

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Forecast history %

Yes

23%

77%

Settled as Yes on Tue 14th Jul 2009 2:52am PST

Activity: H$18,719
Predictions: 22
Comments: 0

Suspend date: Mon 13th Jul 2009 3pm PST
Settlement date: Tue 14th Jul 2009 2:52am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 13th Jul 2009 3pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 30%

Action history:

Created Wed 24th Jun 2009 1:08am PST by

orlin

Suspended Mon 13th Jul 2009 3pm PST : Suspend date reached

Settled as 'Yes' Tue 14th Jul 2009 2:52am PST by

tisha

: A Malaysian satellite rode a Falcon 1 rocket into orbit Monday night, marking the first time the privately-developed booster has successfully launched an operational spacecraft.
http://www.spaceflightnow.com/falcon/005/

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