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Will the American Pastor arrested in Kenya on Porn charges be convicted?

Background: During the day, he was a man of God, preaching the good news to his flock. But at night, he turned into somebody else, engaging in sex orgies and recording them for commercial distribution.

This is the picture that police painted of a 50-year-old American evangelist who was on Wednesday charged with possessing pornographic material in the form of a compact disc.

Mr Thomas Kevin Manton of Dominion International, a church that operates from a Nairobi hotel, was denied bail and remanded in custody until Friday for the police to complete their investigations.

The evangelist was arraigned before Kibera senior resident magistrate Cosmas Maundu and denied the charge. The prosecutor, Mr Joseph Musyoka, told the court that on February 25, this year at Runda Estate in Nairobi, he made or produced an obscene publication — a compact disc — tending to corrupt morals.

He did this for the purpose of trade or for the purpose of distribution or public exhibition, the police alleged. Mr Musyoka told the court that the evangelist, who came into the country in 2007, might face more serious charges after completion of investigations.
http://www.nation.co.ke/News/-/1056/615018/-/ukd15u/-/index.html

Settlement date is fixed.

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
He is convicted
2%
He is acquitted
1%
Charges are dropped
1%
Nothing resolved or reported by settlement date
96%
Question suspends in 7 hours

Suspend date: Tonight 11:59pm PST (7 hours to go)

Initial likelihoods: He is convicted: 35%, He is acquitted: 10%, Charges are dropped: 15%, Nothing resolved or reported by settlement date: 40%

Action history:

Created Wed 24th Jun 3:49pm PST by conspiracy2riot

Suspend date: Tonight 11:59pm PST (7 hours to go) details

 

Predictions (10)

5 weeks ago
mrperfkt[Admin] predicted Nothing resolved or reported by settlement date (H$5,000 at 63%)
9 weeks ago
raidersin09 predicted Nothing resolved or reported by settlement date (H$111 at 43%)
21 weeks ago
charlesf predicted Charges are dropped (H$20 at 11%)

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