Created Wed 24th Jun 5:56pm PST by
cbloom
Which of these players from the steroid era will be the first elected to the MLB Hall of Fame?
Background: After 5 years of retirement, Major League Baseball gives players 15 years of eligibility to be elected to the hall of fame. Who amongst those most disgraced by the steroid era will be elected first?
Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Which of these players from the steroid era will be the first elected to the MLB Hall of Fame?
Barry Bonds
Roger Clemens
Sammy Sosa
Mark McGwire
Rafael Palmeiro
Manny Ramirez
Alex Rodriguez
Jason Giambi
None will be elected
More than one will be elected in the same year
Zoom out
Forecast history %
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| Barry Bonds | | |
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| Roger Clemens | | |
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| Sammy Sosa | | |
|
| Mark McGwire | | |
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| Rafael Palmeiro | | |
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| Manny Ramirez | | |
|
| Alex Rodriguez | | |
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| Jason Giambi | | |
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| None will be elected | | |
|
| More than one will be elected in the same year | | |
Question suspends in 19 years
Suspend date: Wed 20th Jun 2029 11pm PST (19 years to go)
Initial likelihoods:
Barry Bonds: 25%, Roger Clemens: 25%, Sammy Sosa: 5%, Mark McGwire: 5%, Rafael Palmeiro: 5%, Manny Ramirez: 1%, Alex Rodriguez: 1%, Jason Giambi: 1%, None will be elected: 1%, More than one will be elected in the same year: 31%
Action history:
Created Wed 24th Jun 5:56pm PST by
cbloom
Suspend date: Wed 20th Jun 2029 11pm PST (19 years to go) details
Predictions (5)
17 weeks ago
samspade
predicted
Alex Rodriguez (H$100 at 2%)
18 weeks ago
philphan1
predicted
Manny Ramirez (H$20 at 1%)
21 weeks ago
ryfly
predicted
Roger Clemens (H$20 at 26%)
21 weeks ago
onedave![This user is a super user [Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif)

predicted
None will be elected (H$20 at 1%)
21 weeks ago
tgallag2
predicted
Roger Clemens (H$50 at 25%)
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