Created Wed 24th Jun 5:56pm PST by 
cbloom
cbloom 
Which of these players from the steroid era will be the first elected to the MLB Hall of Fame?
Background: After 5 years of retirement, Major League Baseball gives players 15 years of eligibility to be elected to the hall of fame. Who amongst those most disgraced by the steroid era will be elected first?
Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Forecast history %
| Barry Bonds |
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| Roger Clemens |
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| Sammy Sosa |
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| Mark McGwire |
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| Rafael Palmeiro |
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| Manny Ramirez |
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| Alex Rodriguez |
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| Jason Giambi |
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| None will be elected |
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| More than one will be elected in the same year |
|
Question suspends in 19 years
- Activity: H$210 |
- Predictions: 5 |
Comments: 0
Suspend date: Wed 20th Jun 2029 11pm PST (19 years to go)
Initial likelihoods: Barry Bonds: 25%, Roger Clemens: 25%, Sammy Sosa: 5%, Mark McGwire: 5%, Rafael Palmeiro: 5%, Manny Ramirez: 1%, Alex Rodriguez: 1%, Jason Giambi: 1%, None will be elected: 1%, More than one will be elected in the same year: 31%
Action history:
Created Wed 24th Jun 5:56pm PST by cbloom
cbloom 
Suspend date: Wed 20th Jun 2029 11pm PST (19 years to go) details 
Get widget!Predictions (5)
predicted Alex Rodriguez (H$100 at 2%)
philphan1
predicted Manny Ramirez (H$20 at 1%)
predicted Roger Clemens (H$20 at 26%)
onedave![[Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif "This user is a super user"){kind=icon}
predicted None will be elected (H$20 at 1%)
tgallag2Comments (0)
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