Created Thu 25th Jun 10:04am PST by

harryhayfield Level 10, Genius (H$11,597)

Which party will win the Norwich North by-election?

Settled as The Conservative Party

Chloe Smith, the victorious Conservative candidate, is only 27 years old and will be the youngest politicians in the House of Commons.
http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,25197,25832983-2703,00.html

Background:

Background: Ian Gibson (the former Lab MP for Norwich North) resigned from the Commons on June 5th 2009 over question marks over his expense claims, as a result of this there is a by-election pending in his constituency. The writ has yet to be formally moved, but experts are expecting a by-election before the summer recess which begins in late July. Which of the following parties do you believe will win the by-election? The starting odds are the result for the seat at the 2005 general election

Settlement details:As reported by BBC News, Sky News, the PA and the returning officer for Norwich City Council

Forecast history %

The Labour Party

The Conservative Party

85%

Liberal Democrats

Green Party

United Kingdom Independence Party

An Independent Candidate

British National Party

Another Party (not listed)

Settled as The Conservative Party on Fri 24th Jul 4:14pm PST

Activity: H$26,903
Predictions: 83
Comments: 3

Suspend date: Wed 5th Aug 3pm PST
Settlement date: Fri 24th Jul 4:14pm PST

Initial likelihoods: The Labour Party: 44%, The Conservative Party: 32%, Liberal Democrats: 15%, Green Party: 3%, United Kingdom Independence Party: 2%, An Independent Candidate: 1%, British National Party: 1%, Another Party (not listed): 2%

Action history:

Created Thu 25th Jun 10:04am PST by

harryhayfield Level 10, Genius (H$11,597)

Settlement requested Wed 22nd Jul 1:27pm PST by

harryhayfield Level 10, Genius (H$11,597)

: Could you please suspend this question. The result is due to be declared by 1300 BST (0500 PDT) on Friday

Suspended Wed 22nd Jul 2:46pm PST by

tisha

Settlement requested Fri 24th Jul 6:30am PST by

harryhayfield Level 10, Genius (H$11,597)

: Chloe Smith won the Norwich North by-election for the Conservative Party

Settled as 'The Conservative Party' Fri 24th Jul 4:14pm PST by

tisha

: Chloe Smith, the victorious Conservative candidate, is only 27 years old and will be the youngest politicians in the House of Commons.
http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,25197,25832983-2703,00.html

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Suspend date: Wed 5th Aug 3pm PST
Settlement date: Fri 24th Jul 4:14pm PST details

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Predictions (83)

15 weeks ago

pintado Level 6, Player (H$2,382)

predicted The Conservative Party (H$20 at 85%)

15 weeks ago

harryhayfield Level 10, Genius (H$11,597)

predicted Green Party (H$200 at 2%)

15 weeks ago

harryhayfield Level 10, Genius (H$11,597)

predicted The Conservative Party (H$2,278 at 86%)

15 weeks ago

chinadoll Level 7, Pro (H$3,375)

predicted The Labour Party (H$50 at 14%)

15 weeks ago

danno11 Level 7, Pro (H$4,123)

predicted The Labour Party (H$100 at 13%)

Comments (3)

harryhayfield Level 10, Genius (H$11,597)

The writ for the by-election will be moved tomorrow for July 23rd 2009. Therefore I will ask for a suspension at 10.00pm BST / 2.00pm PDT on July 22nd 2009.

posted 18 weeks ago

harryhayfield Level 10, Genius (H$11,597)

Candidates duly nominated: Peter Baggs (Independent), Thomas Burridge (Libertarian Party), Anne Fryatt (None of The Above Party), Bill Holden (Independent), Laud Howling (The Official Monster Raving Loony Party), Craig Murray (Put An Honest Man into Parliament), Chris Ostrowski (Labour), April Pond (Liberal Democrat), Rupert Read (Green), Chloe Smith (Conservative), Glenn Tingle (UK Independence Party),
Robert West (British National Party)

posted 17 weeks ago

harryhayfield Level 10, Genius (H$11,597)

A reminder: I will ask Hubdub to suspend this question at 2200 BST (1400 PDT) today as polls open at 0700 BST (2300 PDT) on July 23rd. The result will be declared by 1200 BST (0400 PDT) on July 24th

posted 15 weeks ago