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Which of these networks will win the 18-49 demo group on Wednesday night?

Settled as FOX

In their second week of competition, Fox’s So You Think You Can Dance? beat NBC’s America’s Got Talent head to head and put Fox in the winner’s circle for the night with a 3.0 rating in the adults 18-49 demo.
Like last week, the 9pm competition between the summer reality flagships was close, but this week their positions were reversed, with Dance scoring the 3.1 demo rating in the hour and Talent grabbing the 2.9.
One of the few things ABC has to be happy about this summer is Wipeout. It was down a tick in the 18-49 demo from last week to a 2.6 rating, but is still doing well. On the other hand, I Survived A Japanese Game Show slipped 0.2 demo ratings points vs. last week to just a 1.4 rating. And the premiere of Primetime: Crime did two ticks better in the 18-49 demo (1.4 rating) than the Primetime Obama heathcare show last week.
In its second outing, NBC’s The Philanthropist slid sharply, down 25% in the 18-49 demo to a 1.5 rating, compared to its reasonable debut numbers (2.0 rating) last week. It’s first half hour had a 1.6 demo rating, and its second a 1.3, not a promising trend.

Background:

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
CBS
5%
ABC
5%
NBC
10%
FOX
80%
Settled as FOX on Thu 2nd Jul 9:43am PST

Suspend date: Wed 1st Jul 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Thu 2nd Jul 9:43am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 1st Jul 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: CBS: 20%, ABC: 20%, NBC: 20%, FOX: 40%

Action history:

Created Thu 25th Jun 12:05pm PST by rbrog77
Suspended Wed 1st Jul 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settled as 'FOX' Thu 2nd Jul 9:43am PST by jenniandboys[Admin]: In their second week of competition, Fox’s So You Think You Can Dance? beat NBC’s America’s Got Talent head to head and put Fox in the winner’s circle for the night with a 3.0 rating in the adults 18-49 demo.
Like last week, the 9pm competition between the summer reality flagships was close, but this week their positions were reversed, with Dance scoring the 3.1 demo rating in the hour and Talent grabbing the 2.9.
One of the few things ABC has to be happy about this summer is Wipeout. It was down a tick in the 18-49 demo from last week to a 2.6 rating, but is still doing well. On the other hand, I Survived A Japanese Game Show slipped 0.2 demo ratings points vs. last week to just a 1.4 rating. And the premiere of Primetime: Crime did two ticks better in the 18-49 demo (1.4 rating) than the Primetime Obama heathcare show last week.
In its second outing, NBC’s The Philanthropist slid sharply, down 25% in the 18-49 demo to a 1.5 rating, compared to its reasonable debut numbers (2.0 rating) last week. It’s first half hour had a 1.6 demo rating, and its second a 1.3, not a promising trend.

Suspend date: Wed 1st Jul 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Thu 2nd Jul 9:43am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 1st Jul 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details

 

Predictions (20)

18 weeks ago
undercontrol predicted CBS (H$1 at 5%)
18 weeks ago
undercontrol predicted ABC (H$1 at 5%)
18 weeks ago
undercontrol predicted NBC (H$2 at 10%)
18 weeks ago
undercontrol predicted FOX (H$7 at 80%)
18 weeks ago
chull predicted FOX (H$1,000 at 86%)

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