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Who will win the NBA 2010 title?

Background: This will run up until early June and will close during the Finals.

The Lakers are planning to re-sign Ariza and Odom and return the same team, with more experience.
The Celtics want Garnett to be healthy, but might have a surprise trade up their sleeve.
The Cavaliers got Shaq and I'm pretty sure they are going to add one more big name.
The Spurs scored huge with Jefferson and Blair.
The Magic snagged Carter.
The Trailblazers are still incredibly young, but their time is near.

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Los Angeles Lakers
28%
Boston Celtics
11%
Cleveland Cavaliers
18%
Orlando Magic
8%
San Antonio Spurs
8%
Denver Nuggets
6%
Portland Trailblazers
4%
Houston Rockets
5%
Miami Heat
3%
Some other team or outcome
9%
Question suspends in 28 weeks

Suspend date: Thu 10th Jun 2010 11:59pm PST (28 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Los Angeles Lakers: 20%, Boston Celtics: 20%, Cleveland Cavaliers: 15%, Orlando Magic: 15%, San Antonio Spurs: 15%, Denver Nuggets: 3%, Portland Trailblazers: 3%, Houston Rockets: 3%, Miami Heat: 3%, Some other team or outcome: 3%

Action history:

Created Sat 27th Jun 6:27am PST by eliminati

Suspend date: Thu 10th Jun 2010 11:59pm PST (28 weeks to go) details

 

Predictions (114)

2 days ago
eliminati predicted Denver Nuggets (H$300 at 2%)
2 days ago
eliminati predicted Orlando Magic (H$400 at 3%)
2 days ago
eliminati predicted San Antonio Spurs (H$350 at 4%)
2 days ago
eliminati predicted Portland Trailblazers (H$200 at 1%)
3 days ago
wahsfrog predicted Some other team or outcome (H$100 at 8%)

Comments (3)

  1 eliminati
It looks like I should have put Dallas in here instead of Houston, since they resigned Kidd and added Marion and Gortat.
posted 18 weeks ago
  2 eliminati
Although all the big boys signed big names like Artest (LAL), Wallace (BOS), Jefferson (SAS), Shaq (CAVS) - the biggest free agent left on the market might have the biggest impact on the championship. Lamar Odom, if he stays with the Lakers, makes them prohibitive favorites to win it all, but if he bolts to Portland, they then jump to the top 3 in the West, at least equal to the Spurs. And if the Heat can get Odom and Boozer, they jump to the top 4 in the East, at least equal to the Magic.

Odds are that Odom stays with the Lakers. But if he goes to the Blazers or Heat, things will get interesting.
posted 17 weeks ago
  3 eliminati
Other includes 4 division leaders: Phoenix (9-2), Dallas (7-3), Atlanta (8-2), Milwaukee (5-2).
posted 4 days ago

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