Will the pirate party enter the German parliament in 2009?

Voided

The initial odds seem to be off a bit: the seat gained by the pirate party in the European parliament was gained in Sweden, the root of the "Pirate Party Movement" where they are the third party concerning votes now, but they only received 0.9% in Germany and are most likely not going to get close to the 5% barrier.

Background:

Background: The pirate party - just recently won a seat in the European parliament - is running for parliament in Germany as well.

Will the German branch make it into the parliament and get 5% or more of the votes in the federal elections?

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Forecast history %

Yes

50%

Voided Wed 15th Jul 2:29pm PST

Activity: H$34,011
Predictions: 33
Comments: 0

Suspend date: Sun 27th Sep 1am PST

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%

Action history:

Created Sun 28th Jun 6:03am PST by

romanofski Level 10, Genius (H$11,212)

Voided Wed 15th Jul 2:29pm PST by

sqlman [Admin]

: The initial odds seem to be off a bit: the seat gained by the pirate party in the European parliament was gained in Sweden, the root of the "Pirate Party Movement" where they are the third party concerning votes now, but they only received 0.9% in Germany and are most likely not going to get close to the 5% barrier.

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