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Iraq - Which company will win the bidding for the Mansouria gas field?

Suspended

Suspend date reached

Background:

Background: Iraq is scheduled to open its first postwar bidding for oil service contracts on Monday. International oil companies were expelled by Saddam Hussein more than 30 years ago.

http://www.google.com/hostednews/ap/article/ALeqM5jpBEKPNaF-qBe2TU2V6lmxCs2B6QD991RR000
http://www.iraqoilreport.com/the-biz/op-ed-assessment-of-the-oil-and-gas-contracts-in-iraq-1841/

The companies that qualified for the bidding, along with the fields and reserves, are compiled below.

Companies

Chevron (USA)
ConocoPhilips (USA)
Exxon Mobil (USA)
Hess Corp. (USA)
Marathon International Petroleum Ltd. (USA)
Occidental Petroleum Corp. (USA)
BP Group PLC. (GBR)
Inpex Holdings Inc., (JAP)
Japex and Nippon Oil Corp. (JAP)
BHP Billiton Ltd. (AUS)
Woodside Petroleum Ltd. (AUS)
China's CNOOC Ltd. (CHN)
CNPC International Ltd. (CHN)
Sinochem International Co. Ltd. (CHN)
Sinopec Shanghai Petrochemical co. Ltd. (CHN)
Edison International SPA (ITA)
Eni (ITA)
JSC Lukoil (RUS)
JSC Gazprom Neft (RUS)
Total SA. (FRA)
Korea Gas Corp. (KOR)
Repsol YPF SA. (ESP)
StatoilHydro ASA. (NOR)
Royal Dutch Shell. (NED)
Nexen Inc. (CAN)
Maersk (DEN)
ONGC Ltd. (IND)
Petronas Gas BHD. (MAS)
PT Pertamina (INA)

State-run oil firms:

Turkish Petroleum Corporation (TPAO),
Algeria's Sonatrach,
PetroVietnam,
Angola's Sonangol SA,
Pakistan Petroleum Ltd.,
and Petroleum Authority of Thailand.

GAS FIELD:

Mansouria in Diyala Province: Undeveloped.
reserves: 3.3 trillion cubic feet
potential: 330 million cubic feet/day.

CatEds Note:
"Oil ministry spokesman Assem Jihad said Thursday that a new date for the second bid round hadn't been set, but that it could be held as early as within the next few months. It had originally been scheduled for December."

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB124653439569985287.html

This question is being reopened and extended until the end of September.

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
ExxonMobil (USA)
14%
BP Group PLC (GBR)
13%
Royal Dutch/Shell (NED)
5%
ChevronTexaco (USA)
19%
TotalFinaElf (FRA)
5%
Conoco+Phillips (USA)
14%
Petronas (MAS)
5%
JSC Lukoil (RUS)
5%
Sinopec (CHN)
5%
Any other company/firm or outcome
13%
Predictions on this question are temporarily suspended

Suspend date: Wed 30th Sep 11:59pm PST

Initial likelihoods: ExxonMobil (USA): 10%, BP Group PLC (GBR): 10%, Royal Dutch/Shell (NED) : 10%, ChevronTexaco (USA) : 10%, TotalFinaElf (FRA) : 10%, Conoco+Phillips (USA): 10%, Petronas (MAS): 10%, JSC Lukoil (RUS): 10%, Sinopec (CHN): 10%, Any other company/firm or outcome: 10%

Action history:

Created Sun 28th Jun 11:36am PST by kruijs[Power User]
Suspended Tue 30th Jun 3:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Unsuspended Fri 3rd Jul 5:40am PST by bayoubear[Admin]: Bidding process has not been completed...extending through Sunday night...
Changed Suspend date Fri 3rd Jul 5:40am PST by bayoubear[Admin]: was: "2009-06-30 15:59:00"
Suspended Sun 5th Jul 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Changed Suspend date Mon 6th Jul 7:30am PST by bayoubear[Admin]: was: "2009-07-05 23:59:00"
Unsuspended Mon 6th Jul 7:31am PST by bayoubear[Admin]: Reopened until the end of September
Suspended Wed 30th Sep 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached

Suspend date: Wed 30th Sep 11:59pm PST details

 

Predictions (34)

7 weeks ago
collieafc predicted Any other company/firm or outcome (H$20 at 13%)
18 weeks ago
momma_hall predicted Any other company/firm or outcome (H$20 at 13%)
19 weeks ago
aaronwinborn predicted ChevronTexaco (USA) (H$50 at 18%)
19 weeks ago
hect0r predicted BP Group PLC (GBR) (H$50 at 13%)
20 weeks ago
cptnkaos predicted BP Group PLC (GBR) (H$20 at 13%)

Comments (2)

  1 kruijs[Power User]
Iraq receives no offers for Mansuriyah gas field

BAGHDAD, June 30 (Reuters) - Iraq's Oil Ministry said on Tuesday it received no offers from international energy companies to develop the 3.3 trillion cubic feet Mansuriyah gas field.

Next on offer in Iraq's first auction of major oil and gas field contracts since the 2003 U.S.-led invasion was the 2.3-billion barrel Bai Hassan oilfield in northern Kirkuk province. (Reporting by Missy Ryan; Editing by Michael Christie)

http://uk.reuters.com/article/idUKLU70882320090630
posted 20 weeks ago
  2 bayoubear[Admin]
ATTENTION TO ALL WAGERERS ON THESE IRAQI OIL FIELD QUESTIONS

It appears that most all of the bids are being submitted, not by the individual companies as listed, but by consortiums, led by one particular company, depending upon the field.

This question will be settled based on which company is the LEAD company in the consortium. Only if there is another company involved as the lead company, or if there is a 50/50 split between two companies in the deal would the settlement be 'other outcome'

This market has been reopened to allow for continued wagering and adjustments of positions. It may be extended beyond the current Sunday deadline if need be, depending upon the scheduling of bidding events.
posted 20 weeks ago

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