Shaq vs. B. Manley - Who will be the winner?

Settled as They don't play before July 31st

Still no announcements of them playing.
Most recent updates suggest this would happen in July but there are no reports of it happening.

http://www.google.com.br/search?hl=pt-BR&q=shaq+b+manley+horse+game&btnG=Pesquisa+Google&meta=&aq=f&oq=

Background:

Background: Perhaps you are not yet familiar with the name. Manley is something of a YouTube cult hero for his rather picturesque basketball trick shot skills.

Somehow, Shaquille O'Neal, the newest Cleveland Cavalier, saw the video. Apparently, his ego was piqued even more than when he saw Orlando's Dwight Howard claim to be Superman.

So what did the NBA's king of social networking do? He Twittered a challenge to a HORSEing duel.

"i wanna play this guy n horse for a thousand dollars, find him pls http://bit.ly/CK5nk," read Shaq's tweet.

<object width="853" height="505"><param name="movie" value="http://www.youtube.com/v/vCtZOlGLL5s&hl=pt-br&fs=1&rel=0&hd=1"></param><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true"></param><param name="allowscriptaccess" value="always"></param><embed src="http://www.youtube.com/v/vCtZOlGLL5s&hl=pt-br&fs=1&rel=0&hd=1" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" allowscriptaccess="always" allowfullscreen="true" width="853" height="505"></embed></object>

Manley accepted the challenge, and they're facing sometime in July. Suspend date may change.

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Forecast history %

B. Manley

27%

Shaq

42%

They don't play before July 31st

31%

Settled as They don't play before July 31st on Mon 3rd Aug 2009 4:46pm PST

Activity: H$3,694
Predictions: 17
Comments: 1

Suspend date: Sun 12th Jul 2009 6:59pm PST
Settlement date: Mon 3rd Aug 2009 4:46pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sun 12th Jul 2009 6:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: B. Manley: 45%, Shaq: 45%, They don't play before July 31st: 10%

Action history:

Created Mon 29th Jun 2009 11:29am PST by

guibraguim Level 12, Guru (H$28,238)

Suspended Sun 12th Jul 2009 6:59pm PST : Suspend date reached

Settlement requested Sun 2nd Aug 2009 10:06am PST by

guibraguim Level 12, Guru (H$28,238)

: Settle as "They don't play before July 31st"

http://www.google.com.br/search?hl=pt-BR&q=shaq+b+manley+horse+game&btnG=Pesquisa+Google&meta=&aq=f&oq=

Settled as 'They don't play before July 31st' Mon 3rd Aug 2009 4:46pm PST by

mrperfkt [Admin]

: Still no announcements of them playing.
Most recent updates suggest this would happen in July but there are no reports of it happening.

http://www.google.com.br/search?hl=pt-BR&q=shaq+b+manley+horse+game&btnG=Pesquisa+Google&meta=&aq=f&oq=

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