Created Tue 30th Jun 1:07pm PST by
philculp
How much will the final value of Simon Cowells contract be?
Settlement details:The contract must be more than speculation. We must learn that he has agreed to terms and have a salary be reported by a major mainstream news source.
How much will the final value of Simon Cowells contract be?
less than $100 million per year
$100m to less than $115m per year
$115m to less than $130m per year
$130m to less than $145m
$145m or more
Simon does not sign new contract
Final numbers not published by settlement date.
Forecast history %
|
| less than $100 million per year | | |
|
| $100m to less than $115m per year | | |
|
| $115m to less than $130m per year | | |
|
| $130m to less than $145m | | |
|
| $145m or more | | |
|
| Simon does not sign new contract | | |
|
| Final numbers not published by settlement date. | | |
Question suspends in 22 weeks
Suspend date: Sat 1st May 2010 11:59pm PST (22 weeks to go)
Initial likelihoods:
less than $100 million per year: 5%, $100m to less than $115m per year: 10%, $115m to less than $130m per year: 10%, $130m to less than $145m: 35%, $145m or more: 5%, Simon does not sign new contract: 10%, Final numbers not published by settlement date.: 25%
Action history:
Created Tue 30th Jun 1:07pm PST by
philculp
Suspend date: Sat 1st May 2010 11:59pm PST (22 weeks to go) details 
Predictions (12)
10 weeks ago
adamo
predicted
less than $100 million per year (H$100 at 36%)
11 weeks ago
philculp predicted
less than $100 million per year (H$2,000 at 14%)
19 weeks ago
philphan1
predicted
$130m to less than $145m (H$20 at 42%)
20 weeks ago
horsefeathers predicted
$115m to less than $130m per year (H$100 at 7%)
20 weeks ago
bigken1 predicted
Final numbers not published by settlement date. (H$50 at 28%)
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