GOLF 2009: How many golfers will finish at Par or Worse at the AT&T National?

Settled as 34 Golfers or more Finish at Par or Worse

46

http://sports.yahoo.com/golf/pga/leaderboard/2009/375

Background:

Background: Play dates are July 2 through July 5.
This is a Par 70 course, so 4 rounds extends Par to 280.

We are changing it up again this week. Last year 48 players shot this course under par and 23 finished at even par or worse. This is based on golfers who finish all 72 holes. Those who miss the cut are not considered when computing the outcome of this question. Be wary of a second cut after the third round.

72 Holes must be played.
Follow their status at http://www.pgatour.com/leaderboards/current/r471/index.html

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source and
http://www.pgatour.com/leaderboards/current/r471/index.html

Forecast history %

0 - 6 Golfers Finish at Par or Worse

7 - 11

12 - 15

16 - 19

20 - 23

24 - 26

14%

27 - 29

15%

30 - 33

17%

34 Golfers or more Finish at Par or Worse

49%

Settled as 34 Golfers or more Finish at Par or Worse on Sun 5th Jul 3:54pm PST

Activity: H$31,062
Predictions: 105
Comments: 0

Suspend date: Sun 5th Jul 9am PST
Settlement date: Sun 5th Jul 3:54pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sun 5th Jul 9am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: 0 - 6 Golfers Finish at Par or Worse: 9%, 7 - 11: 12%, 12 - 15: 13%, 16 - 19: 14%, 20 - 23: 16%, 24 - 26: 13%, 27 - 29: 10%, 30 - 33: 8%, 34 Golfers or more Finish at Par or Worse: 5%

Action history:

Created Tue 30th Jun 4:39pm PST by

buckeyetom Level 17, Superdubber (H$1,695,906)

Suspended Sun 5th Jul 9am PST : Suspend date reached

Settled as '30 - 33' Sun 5th Jul 2:31pm PST by