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In which F1 team will ex-world champion Fernando Alonso drive in 2010?

Settled as Ferrari

Ferrari reaches agreement to sign driver Fernando Alonso from 2010, replacing Kimi Raikkonen
MARANELLO, Italy (AP) — Ferrari has reached an agreement to sign driver Fernando Alonso, replacing Kimi Raikkonen starting next season.
Los Angeles Times - Sep 30 7:35 AM

Per a news search, the story that the deal was official was out by 7:35am EST (although there were even earlier reports that the announcement was coming).
This will be used as the cutoff as the outcome was known at that time.

Background:

Background: Alonso had his best years at Renault. He is now back after a short period in McLaren.
He has strong friendship with Renault's boss but the car is not performing, and Alonso is desperate to go back to the fight for the championship.
There have been rumours that he could move to Ferrari, fueled by the move of sponsorship of Santander, the Spanish bank, from McLaren to Ferrari.

This question has been reissued, as the first time it was voided because the starting percentages seemed "very high".

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Renault
3%
Ferrari
94%
Red Bull
0%
Brawn
0%
McLaren
1%
Campos
1%
Other
1%
Settled as Ferrari on Wed 30th Sep 4:25pm PST

Suspend date: Mon 1st Mar 2010 1:59am PST (14 weeks to go)
Settlement date: Wed 30th Sep 4:25pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 30th Sep 3:35am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Renault: 30%, Ferrari: 30%, Red Bull: 5%, Brawn: 5%, McLaren: 5%, Campos: 10%, Other: 15%

Action history:

Created Thu 2nd Jul 1:31am PST by sirventes
Settlement requested Fri 21st Aug 6:58am PST by pjs1: http://news.bbc.co.uk/sport1/hi/motorsport/formula_one/8214450.stm
Settlement requested Wed 30th Sep 7:43am PST by oasisman: Confirmed by Ferrari:

http://news.bbc.co.uk/sport1/hi/motorsport/formula_one/8280566.stm
Settlement requested Wed 30th Sep 7:51am PST by ghostbuster: http://news.bbc.co.uk/sport
ferrari
Settlement requested Wed 30th Sep 9:10am PST by oocares: Ferrari have announced that double world champion Fernando Alonso will join them for 2010 from Renault, replacing Kimi Raikkonen.

Ferrari said the Spaniard had signed a three-year contract and that he would partner Brazilian Felipe Massa.
.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/sport1/hi/motorsport/formula_one/8280566.stm
Suspended Wed 30th Sep 9:14am PST by mrperfkt[Admin]: Suspended to review settlement request
Settlement requested Wed 30th Sep 3:33pm PST by bohnanza: This should be settled as Ferrari. Ferrari have announced Alonso and Massa as their drivers for next year.

http://news.bbc.co.uk/sport1/hi/motorsport/formula_one/8280566.stm

http://www.ferrari.com/English/News/Pages/090930_F1_News_1.aspx
Settled as 'Ferrari' Wed 30th Sep 4:25pm PST by mrperfkt[Admin]: Ferrari reaches agreement to sign driver Fernando Alonso from 2010, replacing Kimi Raikkonen
MARANELLO, Italy (AP) — Ferrari has reached an agreement to sign driver Fernando Alonso, replacing Kimi Raikkonen starting next season.
Los Angeles Times - Sep 30 7:35 AM

Per a news search, the story that the deal was official was out by 7:35am EST (although there were even earlier reports that the announcement was coming).
This will be used as the cutoff as the outcome was known at that time.

Suspend date: Mon 1st Mar 2010 1:59am PST (14 weeks to go)
Settlement date: Wed 30th Sep 4:25pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 30th Sep 3:35am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details

 

Predictions (56)

7 weeks ago
baghead predicted Ferrari (H$544 at 95%)
7 weeks ago
collieafc predicted Ferrari (H$100 at 94%)
7 weeks ago
ghostbuster predicted Ferrari (H$1,395 at 93%)
8 weeks ago
oberon predicted Ferrari (H$1,000 at 80%)
8 weeks ago
casehandler predicted Ferrari (H$50 at 78%)

Comments (3)

  1 mrperfkt[Admin]
In response to a settlement request on this:
Ferrari denies Whitmarsh's Alonso claim

http://motorsport.com/news/article.asp?ID=341682&FS=F1

It doesn't look like there is a consensus with major news sources yet.
posted 13 weeks ago
  2 oasisman
Isn't the following 'settled' question the same:

http://www.hubdub.com/m18346/For_which_Formula_1_team_will_Fernando_Alonso_compete_in_2010

Not that I'm concerned as I had no predictions on it either way.
posted 7 weeks ago
  3 oocares
Ferrari have announced that double world champion Fernando Alonso will join them for 2010 from Renault, replacing Kimi Raikkonen.

Ferrari said the Spaniard had signed a three-year contract and that he would partner Brazilian Felipe Massa.
.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/sport1/hi/motorsport/formula_one/8280566.stm
.
Settlement Requested
posted 7 weeks ago

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