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How many grains of rice will be donated on Free Rice in July, 2009?

Settled as 849,999,999 grains or less

amount was 652,730,310
http://www.freerice.com/totals.php

Background:

Background: Free Rice is a website that combines free education and food donation to help fight hunger throughout the world. Quoting form the website:
FreeRice has two goals:
1. Provide education to everyone for free.
2. Help end world hunger by providing rice to hungry people for free.
For some reason, the amount of rice generated on the website has dwindled a lot from last year. All charities are hurting due to the economic crisis, but this does not cost the donor a penny!
Last year, most months averaged well over 3,000,000,000 grains. This year is not as good:
January - 2,416,239,520
February - 1,663,509,530
March - 1,830,287,650
April - 1,478,963,720
May - 1,403,545,670
June - 929,906,500

This is pathetic! Will the downtrend continue or will we see a better harvest now that summer is here?

The goal of this question, besides the fun of betting on Hubdub, is to see if we can bring more attention to Free Rice and more players who will donate more rice to combat poverty and hunger. So, bet high and then play your brains out to up the totals!!

The question is: What will be the total number of grains of rice donated in July, 2009. The totals are displayed each day around 6 AM under the Total tab. The settlement will be based on the total displayed in the totals tab on or beyond August 1st, showing the totals for the month of July (usually updated about 6 AM).

Settlement details:as shown on http://www.freerice.com/totals.php

 
Forecast history %
849,999,999 grains or less
100%
850,000,000 to 899,999,999 grains
0%
900,000,000 to 949,999,999 grains
0%
950,000,000 to 999,999,999 grains
0%
1,000,000,000 to 1,049,999,999 grains
0%
1,050,000,000 to 1,099,999,999 grain
0%
1,100,000,000 or more grains
0%
Settled as 849,999,999 grains or less on Sun 2nd Aug 5:32am PST

Suspend date: Sat 25th Jul 7:59pm PST
Settlement date: Sun 2nd Aug 5:32am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 25th Jul 7:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: 849,999,999 grains or less: 10%, 850,000,000 to 899,999,999 grains: 12%, 900,000,000 to 949,999,999 grains: 18%, 950,000,000 to 999,999,999 grains: 20%, 1,000,000,000 to 1,049,999,999 grains: 18%, 1,050,000,000 to 1,099,999,999 grain: 12%, 1,100,000,000 or more grains: 10%

Action history:

Created Thu 2nd Jul 3:59pm PST by tuff_sledding[Power User]
Suspended Sat 25th Jul 7:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Sat 1st Aug 12:27pm PST by tuff_sledding[Power User]: the winner is
849,999,999 grains or less
actual amount was a pathetic 652,730,310
http://www.freerice.com/totals.php
thanks
Settled as '849,999,999 grains or less' Sun 2nd Aug 5:32am PST by ryanj: amount was 652,730,310
http://www.freerice.com/totals.php

Suspend date: Sat 25th Jul 7:59pm PST
Settlement date: Sun 2nd Aug 5:32am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 25th Jul 7:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details

 

Predictions (20)

17 weeks ago
rdeggau predicted 850,000,000 to 899,999,999 grains (H$20 at 2%)
17 weeks ago
mrperfkt[Admin] predicted 850,000,000 to 899,999,999 grains (H$100 at 1%)
18 weeks ago
gtown[Power User] predicted 849,999,999 grains or less (H$10,000 at 97%)
19 weeks ago
gtown[Power User] predicted 849,999,999 grains or less (H$5,000 at 67%)

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