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Wimbledon, Serena Williams - Venus Williams, what will be the 1st Set score?

Settled as Serena wins 7-5 or 7-6

http://www.wimbledon.org/en_GB/scores/cmatch/20ws.html

Background:

Background: Ladies' Singles, Final
http://www.wimbledon.org/en_GB/scores/draws/ws/r7s1.html

The Williams sisters have played 20 times before, and the series is tied, 10-10.
They are 2-2 on grass, with Venus winning in the 2000 Wimbledon semifinals and the 2008 Wimbledon final and Serena winning in the 2002 & 2003 Wimbledon final.
They are 1-1 this year, with Venus winning in the Dubai semifinals and Serena winning in the Miami semifinals. Perhaps the only relevant head-to-head lead is Serena's 5-2 edge in Grand Slam finals, although Venus won their last one.
http://tinyurl.com/SerenaVenus

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Serena wins 6-1 or 6-2
4%
Serena wins 6-3
9%
Serena wins 6-4
13%
Serena wins 7-5 or 7-6
21%
Serena wins 1st Set with other score
2%
Venus wins 6-1 or 6-2
6%
Venus wins 6-3
9%
Venus wins 6-4
12%
Venus wins 7-5 or 7-6
21%
Venus wins 1st Set with other score
4%
Settled as Serena wins 7-5 or 7-6 on Sat 4th Jul 7:19am PST

Suspend date: Sat 4th Jul 4am PST
Settlement date: Sat 4th Jul 7:19am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 4th Jul 4am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Serena wins 6-1 or 6-2: 5%, Serena wins 6-3: 10%, Serena wins 6-4: 12%, Serena wins 7-5 or 7-6: 15%, Serena wins 1st Set with other score: 3%, Venus wins 6-1 or 6-2: 8%, Venus wins 6-3: 12%, Venus wins 6-4: 15%, Venus wins 7-5 or 7-6: 15%, Venus wins 1st Set with other score: 5%

Action history:

Created Thu 2nd Jul 4:16pm PST by sdchargers[Power User]
Suspended Sat 4th Jul 4am PST : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Sat 4th Jul 6:38am PST by pitchedoutsideleg: Serena won 7-6
www.wimbledon.org
Settled as 'Serena wins 7-5 or 7-6' Sat 4th Jul 7:19am PST by mrperfkt[Admin]: http://www.wimbledon.org/en_GB/scores/cmatch/20ws.html

Suspend date: Sat 4th Jul 4am PST
Settlement date: Sat 4th Jul 7:19am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 4th Jul 4am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details

 

Predictions (11)

20 weeks ago
philm predicted Serena wins 6-4 (H$100 at 12%)
20 weeks ago
rdeggau predicted Serena wins 7-5 or 7-6 (H$50 at 21%)
20 weeks ago
pitchedoutsideleg predicted Venus wins 7-5 or 7-6 (H$500 at 17%)
20 weeks ago
pitchedoutsideleg predicted Serena wins 7-5 or 7-6 (H$500 at 18%)

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