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Which game will win the German board game award "Deutscher Spielepreis" in 2009?

Settled as Dominion

Background: The "Deutscher Spielepreis" (German Games Award) is one of the most famous German awards for board games and card games.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Deutscher_Spiele_Preis
http://www.deutscherspielepreis.de/

The winner will be announced between October 22 and 25 at the International Game Days (Internationale Spieletage) in Essen.

http://www.internationalespieltage.de/

You can cast your vote at the homepage of the "Deutscher Spielepreis" for games, which were published at the game expos Essen 2008 or Nürnberg 2009. (Voting is open til July 31 2009.)

http://www.deutscherspielepreis.de/p040.php4

The most popular games right now on boardgamegeek.com (http://www.boardgamegeek.com/ ) and the German board game review website hall9000.de (http://www.hall9000.de/navi/spielecharts.html ) in alphabetical order:

Dominion
Author: Donald X. Vaccarino
Publisher: Rio Grande Games / Hans im Glück
Rank on Boardgamegeek (July): 6

Le Havre
Author: Uwe Rosenberg
Publisher: Lookout Games
Rank on Boardgamegeek (July): 8

Pandemic
Author: Matt Leacock
Publisher: Z-Man Games
Rank on Boardgamegeek (July): 23

Small World
Author: Philippe Keyaerts
Publisher: Days of Wonder
Rank on Boardgamegeek (July): 33

Space Alert
Author: Vladimír Chvátil
Publisher: Czech Games Edition
Rank on Boardgamegeek (July): 53

Settlement details:As reported by http://www.deutscherspielepreis.de/ or http://www.internationalespieltage.de/

 
Forecast history %
Dominion
41%
Le Havre
33%
Pandemic
11%
Small World
9%
Space Alert
3%
Other
3%
Settled as Dominion on Tue 13th Oct 3:48am PST

Suspend date: Tue 20th Oct 3:59pm PST
Settlement date: Tue 13th Oct 3:48am PST

Initial likelihoods: Dominion: 40%, Le Havre: 35%, Pandemic: 12%, Small World: 9%, Space Alert: 3%, Other: 1%

Action history:

Created Fri 3rd Jul 1:13am PST by neopugg
Suspended Mon 28th Sep 1:32pm PST by tisha[Admin]: Suspended pending settlement
Settlement requested Tue 13th Oct 2:59am PST by neopugg: Dominion won.

http://www.deutscherspielepreis.de/p060.php4
Settled as 'Dominion' Tue 13th Oct 3:48am PST by jenniandboys[Admin]

Suspend date: Tue 20th Oct 3:59pm PST
Settlement date: Tue 13th Oct 3:48am PST details

 

Predictions (4)

10 weeks ago
neopugg predicted Small World (H$20 at 9%)
10 weeks ago
neopugg predicted Dominion (H$100 at 41%)
20 weeks ago
gtown[Power User] predicted Other (H$100 at 2%)
20 weeks ago
gtown[Power User] predicted Dominion (H$100 at 41%)

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