
Will there be more named storms in the Atlantic or the Pacific?
Background: As of July 2, no tropical storms or hurricanes had formed in the Atlantic basin and one hurricane had formed in the Pacific. The NOAA predicted that 13-18 named storms would form in the Pacific. William Gray's latest prediction for the Atlantic is 11 named storms.
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2009/index.shtml
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2009_Atlantic_hurricane_season
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2009_Pacific_hurricane_season
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2009/index.shtml
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2009_Atlantic_hurricane_season
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2009_Pacific_hurricane_season
Settlement details:As reported by http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/. Question will settle when all tropical cyclones have dissipated after original suspension date.
| Pacific has 7+ named storms or more |
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| Pacific has five or six more named storms |
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| Pacific has three or four more named storms |
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| Pacific has one or two more named storms |
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| tie or Atlantic has more named storms |
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Question suspends in 1 week
- Activity: H$45,779 |
- Predictions: 75 |
Comments: 28
Suspend date: Mon 30th Nov 6:59pm PST (1 week to go)
Initial likelihoods: Pacific has 7+ named storms or more: 15%, Pacific has five or six more named storms: 30%, Pacific has three or four more named storms: 30%, Pacific has one or two more named storms: 15%, tie or Atlantic has more named storms: 10%
Action history:
Suspend date: Mon 30th Nov 6:59pm PST (1 week to go) details








looks like Pacific will be a winner by a wide margin...
E Pacific is up by 7...
Atlantic could still close the gap with a late surge, but it is getting late.
So it is indeed 15-7, but it looks like it is about to become 15 : 8. That would get things back to Pacific by a converted touchdown.
It should be mentioned, however, that the Atlantic season is longer and it is not too unusual to have storms forming in November or even December, so this one is not over yet!
that makes the score 17 to 8, EP by 9!
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