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Which will be the top 3 films, in order, at the domestic box office for the July 10-12 weekend?

Settled as Brüno, Ice Age, Transformers

1 N Bruno Uni. $30,619,130 - 2,756 - $11,110 $30,619,130 - 1
2 2 Ice Age: Dawn of the Dinosaurs Fox $27,607,497 -33.8% 4,102 +3 $6,730 $119,680,193 $90 2
3 1 Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen P/DW $24,213,875 -42.8% 4,293 +59 $5,640 $339,221,800 $200 3

Background:

Background: After "Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen" and "Ice Age: Dawn of the Dinosaurs" battled it out for the top spot over the holiday weekend, a film with a short name enters the mix on July 10: Sacha Baron Cohen's "Brüno." Can the comedy draw enough viewers in for a first-place finish? How much will the other films fade? The box office will tell.

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Transformers, Ice Age, Brüno
3%
Transformers, Brüno, Ice Age
2%
Ice Age, Transformers, Brüno
13%
Ice Age, Brüno, Transformers
5%
Brüno, Transformers, Ice Age
10%
Brüno, Ice Age, Transformers
61%
Any other film is in the top 3
7%
Settled as Brüno, Ice Age, Transformers on Mon 13th Jul 2:54pm PST

Suspend date: Fri 10th Jul 5pm PST
Settlement date: Mon 13th Jul 2:54pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 10th Jul 5pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Transformers, Ice Age, Brüno : 16%, Transformers, Brüno, Ice Age: 16%, Ice Age, Transformers, Brüno: 16%, Ice Age, Brüno, Transformers: 16%, Brüno, Transformers, Ice Age: 16%, Brüno, Ice Age, Transformers: 16%, Any other film is in the top 3: 4%

Action history:

Created Fri 3rd Jul 7am PST by mvguy
Suspended Fri 10th Jul 5pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Sun 12th Jul 11:49pm PST by curios: settel plese.
Studio Weekend Estimates: July 10 to July 12, 2009 Weekend Total
1 Brüno $30,426,000 $30,426,000
2 Ice Age: Dawn of the Dinosaurs $28,500,000 $120,572,696
3 Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen $24,200,000 $339,208,000
Settled as 'Brüno, Ice Age, Transformers' Mon 13th Jul 2:54pm PST by jenniandboys[Admin]: 1 N Bruno Uni. $30,619,130 - 2,756 - $11,110 $30,619,130 - 1
2 2 Ice Age: Dawn of the Dinosaurs Fox $27,607,497 -33.8% 4,102 +3 $6,730 $119,680,193 $90 2
3 1 Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen P/DW $24,213,875 -42.8% 4,293 +59 $5,640 $339,221,800 $200 3

Suspend date: Fri 10th Jul 5pm PST
Settlement date: Mon 13th Jul 2:54pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 10th Jul 5pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details

 

Predictions (195)

19 weeks ago
sdchargers[Power User] predicted Ice Age, Brüno, Transformers (H$100 at 4%)
19 weeks ago
sdchargers[Power User] predicted Brüno, Ice Age, Transformers (H$100 at 62%)
19 weeks ago
tgallag2 predicted Any other film is in the top 3 (H$100 at 6%)
19 weeks ago
john_kahl predicted Brüno, Ice Age, Transformers (H$176 at 62%)
19 weeks ago
valli942 predicted Any other film is in the top 3 (H$20 at 5%)

Comments (7)

I don't think I can stomach any of these 3 films.
posted 19 weeks ago
Did you guys even check the current box office, http://boxoffice.com/. (look at the total)
posted 19 weeks ago
  3 frogchop
So what's your thinking Alex, that because Transformers has made more total that it's going to do better this weekend? Some trend analysis might pay off for you.
posted 19 weeks ago
  4 curios
Studio Weekend Estimates: July 10 to July 12, 2009 Weekend Total
1 Brüno $30,426,000 $30,426,000
2 Ice Age: Dawn of the Dinosaurs $28,500,000 $120,572,696
3 Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen $24,200,000 $339,208,000
posted 18 weeks ago
  5 curios
This is dated monday the 13th jenni
http://boxoffice.com/
posted 18 weeks ago
  6 curios
http://www.boxofficemojo.com/
posted 18 weeks ago

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