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HSX: Will "Aliens in the Attic" earn at least $36m in the dom box office the first 4 weeks?

Settled as No

Background: Missing more great HSX questions by tarpash I decided to become active with my own set of questions. I will add some smaller movies and some that will start later. The questions use the HSX estimate of future movies: http://www.hsxresearch.com/charts/future_release.jsp and the background from boxoffice mojo.

"ALIENS IN THE ATTIC"
Release Date: 7/31/09
Final Date: 8/27/09
Release: Wide
Distributor: Fox
Genre: Family Adventure
MPAA Rating: PGRating: R

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=aliensintheattic.htm

Settlement details:http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=aliensintheattic.htm

 
Forecast history %
Yes
2%
No
98%
Settled as No on Tue 18th Aug 11:45am PST

Suspend date: Sat 22nd Aug 3:05pm PST
Settlement date: Tue 18th Aug 11:45am PST

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%

Action history:

Created Sat 4th Jul 4:58am PST by hfl13
Settlement requested Wed 12th Aug 12:30pm PST by hfl13: Loses 35-54% each day in comparison to last week. With todays Tuesday numbers the movie needs the same numbers for every day and would only reach 34,78m.

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?page=daily&id=aliensintheattic.htm
Settlement requested Fri 14th Aug 12:31pm PST by hfl13: Aliens in the Attic loses the mayority of its screens today:

12 4 Aliens in the Attic Fox 1,535 -1,573 -50.6% 3

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/counts/chart/?yr=2009&wk=33&p=.htm
Settlement requested Tue 18th Aug 11:43am PST by hfl13: Finished this weekend in 17th place with only 1,450m

Will only reach 26,82m without loosing any more.
Settled as 'No' Tue 18th Aug 11:45am PST by jenniandboys[Admin]

Suspend date: Sat 22nd Aug 3:05pm PST
Settlement date: Tue 18th Aug 11:45am PST details

 

Predictions (31)

14 weeks ago
bobyn42 predicted Yes (H$20 at 2%)
15 weeks ago
exterpate predicted Yes (H$50 at 4%)
15 weeks ago
nanotube predicted Yes (H$20 at 4%)
19 weeks ago
philphan1 predicted No (H$20 at 47%)
19 weeks ago
mungo10 predicted No (H$50 at 47%)

Comments (1)

  1 hfl13

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