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Where will the Nikkei 225 close on Friday, July 10, 2009?

Settled as Nikkei closes at 9,500.00 or less

Nikkei finished the week at 9338.76

Background:

Background: Nikkei just went down about 60 points or so, and maybe that's not too bad considering how the week went along.

Now, what about this week?

Here's a look at the last couple of weeks:

Nikkei 225 closed at 9768.01 on Friday, June 5
Nikkei 225 closed at 10135.80 on Friday, June 12
Nikkei 225 closed at 9786.260 on Friday, June 19
Nikkei 225 closed at 9877.39 on Friday, June 26

And this past Friday, 7/3, it closed at 9816.07

Simply put, into which of the range options below will the Nikkei 225 fall at the end of trading on Friday? The question will suspend on Wednesday to provide some predictive requirements for wagering. That's where it gets tricky...have fun!

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Nikkei closes at 9,500.00 or less
49%
Nikkei closes between 9,500.01 and 9,600.00
29%
Nikkei closes between 9,600.01 and 9,700.00
12%
Nikkei closes between 9,700.01 and 9,800.00
2%
Nikkei closes between 9,800.01 and 9,900.00
4%
Nikkei closes between 9,900.01 and 10,000.00
2%
Nikkei closes between 10,000.01 and 10,100.00
1%
Nikkei closes at 10,100.01 or more
0%
Settled as Nikkei closes at 9,500.00 or less on Fri 10th Jul 1:39pm PST

Suspend date: Wed 8th Jul 9:59pm PST
Settlement date: Fri 10th Jul 1:39pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 8th Jul 9:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Nikkei closes at 9,500.00 or less: 2%, Nikkei closes between 9,500.01 and 9,600.00: 5%, Nikkei closes between 9,600.01 and 9,700.00: 10%, Nikkei closes between 9,700.01 and 9,800.00: 20%, Nikkei closes between 9,800.01 and 9,900.00: 30%, Nikkei closes between 9,900.01 and 10,000.00: 20%, Nikkei closes between 10,000.01 and 10,100.00: 10%, Nikkei closes at 10,100.01 or more: 3%

Action history:

Created Sat 4th Jul 6:55am PST by bayoubear[Admin]
Suspended Wed 8th Jul 9:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settled as 'Nikkei closes at 9,500.00 or less' Fri 10th Jul 1:39pm PST by bayoubear[Admin]: Nikkei finished the week at 9338.76

Suspend date: Wed 8th Jul 9:59pm PST
Settlement date: Fri 10th Jul 1:39pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 8th Jul 9:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details

 

Predictions (27)

19 weeks ago
mungo10 predicted Nikkei closes between 9,500.01 and 9,600.00 (H$20 at 23%)
19 weeks ago
mungo10 predicted Nikkei closes at 9,500.00 or less (H$50 at 57%)
19 weeks ago
pita_soup predicted Nikkei closes between 9,500.01 and 9,600.00 (H$100 at 30%)

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