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Where will the Hang Seng Index close on Friday, July 10, 2009?

Settled as Hang Seng closes between 17,500.01 and 17,750.00

Hang Seng finished the week at 17759.80

Background:

Background: The Hang Seng is one of the more important Asian markets, and we seem to be getting a fair amount of interest in it now. How will it do this week?

Here's a look at the last couple of weeks:
Hang Seng closed at 16790.70 on Friday, May 15.
Hang Seng closed at 17062.50 on Friday, May 22.
Hang Seng closed at 18171.00 on Friday, May 29.
Hang Seng closed at 18679.53 on Friday, June 5.
Hang Seng closed at 18171.00 on Friday, June 12.
Hang Seng closed at 17920.93 on Friday, June 19
Hang Seng closed at 18600.26 on Friday, June 26

And this past Friday(7/3), the Hang Seng closed at 18203.40, for a loss of nearly 400 points for the week.

So will we still see more losses or some gains this week?

Will it stay above 18,000?

The question is then, into which of the range options below will the Hang Seng Index of the Hong Kong Stock Exchange fall at the end of trading on Friday? The question will suspend on Wednesday to provide some predictive requirements for wagering.

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Hang Seng closes at 17,500.00 or less
13%
Hang Seng closes between 17,500.01 and 17,750.00
27%
Hang Seng closes between 17,750.01 and 18,000.00
18%
Hang Seng closes between 18,000.01 and 18,250.00
19%
Hang Seng closes between 18,250.01 and 18,500.00
9%
Hang Seng closes between 18,500.01 and 18,750.00
7%
Hang Seng closes between 18,750.01 and 19,000.00
5%
Hang Seng closes at 19,000.01 or more
2%
Settled as Hang Seng closes between 17,500.01 and 17,750.00 on Sat 11th Jul 3:20am PST

Suspend date: Wed 8th Jul 10:59pm PST
Settlement date: Sat 11th Jul 3:20am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 8th Jul 10:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Hang Seng closes at 17,500.00 or less: 2%, Hang Seng closes between 17,500.01 and 17,750.00: 5%, Hang Seng closes between 17,750.01 and 18,000.00: 18%, Hang Seng closes between 18,000.01 and 18,250.00: 25%, Hang Seng closes between 18,250.01 and 18,500.00: 20%, Hang Seng closes between 18,500.01 and 18,750.00: 15%, Hang Seng closes between 18,750.01 and 19,000.00: 10%, Hang Seng closes at 19,000.01 or more: 5%

Action history:

Created Sat 4th Jul 7:01am PST by bayoubear[Admin]
Suspended Wed 8th Jul 10:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settled as 'Hang Seng closes between 17,750.01 and 18,000.00' Fri 10th Jul 1:38pm PST by bayoubear[Admin]: Hang Seng finished the week at 17759.80

Suspend date: Wed 8th Jul 10:59pm PST
Settlement date: Sat 11th Jul 3:20am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 8th Jul 10:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details

 

Predictions (10)

19 weeks ago
undercontrol predicted Hang Seng closes between 17,500.01 and 17,750.00 (H$20 at 27%)

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