Created Sat 4th Jul 11:47am PST by

tuff_sledding [Power User]

Can the rainfall in Washington DC in July match the soggy month of June?

Settled as 2.5" or less

Only 1.07 fell
http://www.weather.gov/climate/index.php?wfo=lwx

Background:

Background: January, February and March were very dry in the Nation's Capital. April finally came close to the normal rainfall value, but did not make up any of the deficit. That all changed in May when we got nearly double the normal amount of rain and continued into June with another 5.86 inches (~15 cm) of rainfall, compared to normal rainfall in DC in June, which is 3.13" (~8cm). Can we keep the rain coming and really replenish the reservoirs and the water table in July, 2009?
The normal precipitation for July is 3.66 " (~9.3 cm). The question asks for the total amount of rain recorded by the National Weather Service, Sterling, VA giving the total for the month of July at National Airport. The summer months will be interesting - one good line of thunderstorms can dump an inch in half a day here. And then there are those remnants of hurricanes that make their way inland. The July one-day record is 4.69". The wettest July was in 1945, with 11.06" of rain.

Settlement details:As per National Weather Service, Sterling, VA http://www.weather.gov/climate/index.php?wfo=lwx total monthly rainfall for July @ National Airport

Forecast history %

2.5" or less

96%

2.51 to 3.0"

3.01 to 3.5"

3.51 to 4.0"

4.01 to 4.5"

4.51 to 5.0"

5.01" or more

Settled as 2.5" or less on Sun 2nd Aug 5:28am PST

Activity: H$27,440
Predictions: 60
Comments: 2

Suspend date: Sun 26th Jul 7:59pm PST
Settlement date: Sun 2nd Aug 5:28am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sun 26th Jul 7:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: 2.5" or less: 5%, 2.51 to 3.0": 10%, 3.01 to 3.5": 20%, 3.51 to 4.0": 25%, 4.01 to 4.5" : 20%, 4.51 to 5.0": 15%, 5.01" or more: 5%

Action history:

Created Sat 4th Jul 11:47am PST by

tuff_sledding [Power User]

Suspended Sun 26th Jul 7:59pm PST : Suspend date reached

Settlement requested Sat 1st Aug 2:50am PST by

tuff_sledding [Power User]

: the answer is an emphatic NO.
We got a measly 1.07" of rain, so <2.5" wins, hands down.
http://www.weather.gov/climate/index.php?wfo=lwx
PS, looks like the weather channel has fixed their leaky gauge....

Settled as '2.5" or less' Sun 2nd Aug 5:28am PST by

ryanj

: Only 1.07 fell
http://www.weather.gov/climate/index.php?wfo=lwx

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Predictions (60)

14 weeks ago

jasonrodgers787 Level 7, Pro (H$3,601)

predicted 2.5" or less (H$400 at 96%)

14 weeks ago

blacksoapman Level 10, Genius (H$12,145)

predicted 2.5" or less (H$20 at 95%)

14 weeks ago

jasonrodgers787 Level 7, Pro (H$3,601)

predicted 2.5" or less (H$15 at 95%)

14 weeks ago

holzratte Level 5, Predictor (H$1,906)

predicted 2.5" or less (H$100 at 80%)

15 weeks ago

pitchedoutsideleg Level 18, Megadubber (H$2,522,135)

predicted 2.5" or less (H$2,000 at 59%)

Comments (2)

tuff_sledding [Power User]

Well, we're almost a third of the way through July with a grand total of 0.12" of rain so far. Looks like we are going dry again. Had to break out the garden hose for the first time this week!

posted 17 weeks ago

tuff_sledding [Power User]

half way through the month, the grass is turning brown. still only trace of rain so far. looks like the answer to the headline question is a resounding NO!

posted 16 weeks ago