Created Sat 4th Jul 2009 1:17pm PST by

gonegonegone Level 15, Seer (H$464,434)

Gold - Oil - Dow. Three horse race. Finish line 10 July 2009

Settled as All three down

All three closed lower.
DJIA went down from 8281 to 8147
Oil went down from 65.63 to 59.66
Gold went down from 931 to 913

Background:

Background: Gold, oil and the DJIA. Probably the three most watched prices.

Your mission, should you decide to accept it, is to pick the group performance. Will all three be up, all three down. Will the DJIA tank while gold shines bright but oil burns out. In the unlikely event of one finishing at exactly the same price, to the cent or 2 decimal we call it up.
I have put the suspend date to Thursday midday EDT
Starting prices DJIA 8281
______________Oil 65.63
____________Gold 931.00

Oil is light sweet crude (CL on NYMEX)
Suspend date Thursday midday EDT
Best place to track all three: www.marketwatch.com

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source

Forecast history %

All three up

Dow up, gold & oil down

20%

Gold up, dow & oil down

Oil up, dow & gold down

Dow down, gold & oil up

Gold down, dow & oil up

Oil down, dow & gold up

All three down

74%

Settled as All three down on Tue 14th Jul 2009 6:35am PST

Activity: H$28,036
Predictions: 138
Comments: 2

Suspend date: Thu 9th Jul 2009 11am PST
Settlement date: Tue 14th Jul 2009 6:35am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 9th Jul 2009 11am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: All three up: 14%, Dow up, gold & oil down: 12%, Gold up, dow & oil down: 13%, Oil up, dow & gold down: 13%, Dow down, gold & oil up: 12%, Gold down, dow & oil up: 12%, Oil down, dow & gold up: 12%, All three down: 12%

Action history:

Created Sat 4th Jul 2009 1:17pm PST by

gonegonegone Level 15, Seer (H$464,434)

Suspended Thu 9th Jul 2009 11am PST : Suspend date reached

Settlement requested Sat 11th Jul 2009 8:12am PST by

mickeydaniel Level 17, Superdubber (H$1,387,041)

: Please settle as “all 3 down”. Dow closed at 8,147.37, Gold closed at 913.4, Oil closed at 59.66 on 7.10.2009. www.marketwatch.com

Settlement requested Tue 14th Jul 2009 6:01am PST by

sharon91977 Level 16, Oracle (H$821,684)

: settles as “all 3 down”. Dow closed at 8,147.37, Gold closed at 913.4, Oil closed at 59.66 on 7.10.2009. www.marketwatch.com

Settled as 'All three down' Tue 14th Jul 2009 6:35am PST by

bayoubear [Admin]

: All three closed lower.
DJIA went down from 8281 to 8147
Oil went down from 65.63 to 59.66
Gold went down from 931 to 913

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Predictions (138)

36 weeks ago

pita_soup Level 13, Psychic (H$63,834)

predicted Dow up, gold & oil down (H$50 at 14%)

36 weeks ago

donnamil Level 15, Seer (H$311,719)

predicted All three down (H$300 at 68%)

36 weeks ago

ciraric Level 9, Expert (H$9,659)

predicted All three down (H$100 at 61%)

36 weeks ago

mcsemike99 Level 9, Expert (H$8,655)

predicted Oil up, dow & gold down (H$81 at 3%)

36 weeks ago

ciraric Level 9, Expert (H$9,659)

predicted All three down (H$188 at 44%)

Comments (2)

gonegonegone Level 15, Seer (H$464,434)

www.marketwatch.com now reports Dow and gold prices without decimals. Does anyone know a site where all three appear on the same page soon after markets close on Friday that publish the full price? If there is such a site I will use that as the settlement source.

posted 36 weeks ago

bookie Level 13, Psychic (H$84,026)

@pete, God thing it isn't the Dow Oil Gold Horse Race, eh?

both http://www.bloomberg.com/ and www.boursorama.com show all 3 prices on the same page, if not as conviently as Marketwatch. I'll see if I can find any others which are clearer.

posted 36 weeks ago