Created Sat 4th Jul 2009 3:17pm PST by

misscraps Level 3, Apprentice (H$1,174)

Will it be revealed that a new scandal is the reason Governor Palin's quit governorship early

Settled as No

Background: CATEGORY EDITOR CLARIFICATIONThis market is being allowed to run. In order for a Yes settlement there must be clear and overwhelming reporting of a scandal. I am going to allow this market which will hopefully not run into many problems, but be forewarned that this market is not for the weary, this market will be settled solely at my discretion, therefore I will do my best to provide clarifications as necessary. Please flag market for most immediate responses.

On July 3 Alaska's Governor Palin announced she will not run for reelection, and also she will quit the governorship in midterm. Her speak revealed only vague reasons for this sudden, unexpected decision. Was a lurking, not yet revealed, scandal actually behind this, which will be revealed in the upcoming months?

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Forecast history %

Yes

96%

Settled as No on Thu 31st Dec 2009 5:46pm PST

Activity: H$47,818
Predictions: 24
Comments: 1

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 2009 7:59am PST
Settlement date: Thu 31st Dec 2009 5:46pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 31st Dec 2009 7:59am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 30%

Action history:

Created Sat 4th Jul 2009 3:17pm PST by

misscraps Level 3, Apprentice (H$1,174)

Changed Description Sat 4th Jul 2009 8:11pm PST by

destry [Admin]

: show details

... <center>CATEGORY EDITOR CLARIFICATION</center>This market is being allowed to run. In order for a Yes settlement there must be clear and overwhelming reporting of a scandal. I am going to allow this market which will hopefully not run into many problems, but be forewarned that this market is not for the weary, this market will be settled solely at my discretion, therefore I will do my best to provide clarifications as necessary. Please flag market for most immediate responses. On July 3 Alaska's

Suspended Thu 31st Dec 2009 7:59am PST : Suspend date reached

Settlement requested Thu 31st Dec 2009 5:45pm PST by

Erik

: No revelation. Please settle as 'No'.

Settled as 'No' Thu 31st Dec 2009 5:46pm PST by

destry [Admin]

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Predictions (24)

13 weeks ago

wahsfrog Level 14, Prophet (H$224,878)

predicted Yes (H$100 at 6%)

16 weeks ago

Erik

predicted No (H$10,000 at 93%)

17 weeks ago

cheesenips Level 16, Oracle (H$728,006)

predicted No (H$1,000 at 90%)

19 weeks ago

Erik

predicted No (H$10,000 at 87%)

28 weeks ago

Erik

predicted No (H$10,000 at 79%)

Comments (1)

frogchop Level 18, Megadubber (H$2,712,641)

http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20090721/ap_on_re_us/us_palin_ethics_complaint

Sure seems scandalous to me. If she knew about the timing of the report's release, sure seems like a cause-effect.

posted 34 weeks ago