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Will Sarah Palin campaign for any GOP candidates in the 2010 election?

Background: NEW YORK — Sarah Palin's decision to step down as Alaska governor was driven in part by her wish to help Republican candidates across the country, associates say.

But in New Jersey and Virginia, both of which have competitive governors' races this year, the prospect of a visit from the party's 2008 vice presidential nominee has so far drawn a muted response from the GOP contenders in both states.
Read more here: http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2009/07/08/gop-candidates-in-virgini_n_227578.html

Will Sarah be shunned or will there be other GOP members who actually use her to win votes?

To qualify one of the Yes options the person MUST be running on the Republican Party ticket. ANY elected position from Drain Commissioner to Governor will count.

Any MSM reports of the following will qualify one of the Yes options:
A commercial for the candidate
Speaking at an event for the candidate
Fundraising for the candidate
Announcement in advance that she will attend a political function for the candidate


Settlement date is final.

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
0 - Sarah is the Dick Cheney of the RNC
18%
1-2 Republicans utilize Sarah
10%
3-4 in the GOP tap Sarah for help
8%
5 or more think Sarah's just what they need
64%
Question suspends in 49 weeks

Suspend date: Tue 2nd Nov 2010 1:59pm PST (49 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: 0 - Sarah is the Dick Cheney of the RNC: 25%, 1-2 Republicans utilize Sarah: 25%, 3-4 in the GOP tap Sarah for help: 25%, 5 or more think Sarah's just what they need: 25%

Action history:

Created Wed 8th Jul 8:08am PST by conspiracy2riot

Suspend date: Tue 2nd Nov 2010 1:59pm PST (49 weeks to go) details

 

Predictions (56)

2 days ago
danallen2 predicted 5 or more think Sarah's just what they need (H$100 at 64%)
1 week ago
modigs2000 predicted 5 or more think Sarah's just what they need (H$100 at 63%)
6 weeks ago
conspiracy2riot predicted 1-2 Republicans utilize Sarah (H$200 at 9%)
6 weeks ago
shellyvalentine66 predicted 3-4 in the GOP tap Sarah for help (H$50 at 6%)
7 weeks ago
linda415 predicted 5 or more think Sarah's just what they need (H$100 at 82%)

Comments (11)

  1 frogchop
Palin is just what the Repugnican Party needs... to make the Liberatarians look grounded and centered.
posted 19 weeks ago
  2 coolkraft
yep....she fits right in with the rest of the resmuglicans
posted 19 weeks ago
I presume the phrases "A commercial for the candidate" and "Fundraising for the candidate" would include being quoted in campaign literature, flyers, newspaper ads, etc., not just TV ads and speaking engagements? She could phone in a quote to a candidate with peermission that it be published, or approve the use of her name in one of those "endorsed by:" lists that appear in voter pamphlets.
posted 19 weeks ago
We have a need for a CAT ED intervention here right now. We do not need another Iraqi withdrawl Question again.
posted 19 weeks ago
Whoa....I think I can help clear this up so at least let me try.

My intent with the criteria set forth is that Sarah actually physically participate in some capacity for the candidate.
Starring in a commercial proves she was there.
If she's billed to speak she's there.
If she hosts a fundraiser she's there.
If she's announced to be an attendee in advance it's being promoted to help drive up attendance (For whatever that's worth) and she's there.

I specifically attempted to limit what would count and no, a quote from her in literature is not on my list. I am also not interested in whether Sarah twitters her support for a candidate. ONLY what is ON THE LIST.

Now...does this clear things up for those concerned?
posted 19 weeks ago
  6 bookie
Um what if SarPal actually runs herself as a candiddope for an office (on the elephant side) - does she count herself for this q.?
posted 19 weeks ago
No. It must be for someone besides herself.
posted 19 weeks ago
Love your graphic!
posted 19 weeks ago
  9 bookie
@C2R better get this voided - to think she would ever campaign for anyone other than herself!

Only Alaska was big enough for her ego...

see http://www.vanityfair.com/politics/features/2009/08/sarah-palin200908
posted 19 weeks ago
Don't worry, I'm sure something effed up will happen to it ....
posted 18 weeks ago
http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1009/28118.html

"Thanks But No Thanks: GOP Candidates Ignore Palin Offers"
posted 6 weeks ago

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