Created Wed 8th Jul 5:31pm PST by

How many Hubdubbers will achieve a quarterly gain of 500,000 or more in Q3 2009?

Settled as 10 to 11

Background: There are a lot of "rich" Hubdubbers, but not everybody is playing or winning. Last quarter, 13 players gained a quarter of a million H$. I did not track exactly how many made 500k, but we know there were three that made a cool million and at least 6-8 that made over 500k. There should be more this quarter, as there are now more high net worth hubdubbers and we all know that the rich get richer.
The question is: how many will have gained at least 500,000 H$ in the third quarter of 09? The market will suspend one week prior.

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source. In case no mainstream source reports Hubdub gains, we will go with the Quarterly Gain Leaderboard as of 06:00 on October 1st: http://www.hubdub.com/p/Leaders?page=1

Forecast history %

3 or less stuck in neutral

4 to 5

6 to 7

8 to 9

10 to 11

97%

12 to 13

14 to 15

16 to 17

18 or more HD rocks!

Settled as 10 to 11 on Thu 1st Oct 2:29am PST

Activity: H$45,599
Predictions: 61
Comments: 2

Suspend date: Thu 24th Sep 12:59pm PST
Settlement date: Thu 1st Oct 2:29am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 24th Sep 12:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: 3 or less stuck in neutral: 6%, 4 to 5: 8%, 6 to 7: 12%, 8 to 9: 15%, 10 to 11: 18%, 12 to 13: 15%, 14 to 15: 12%, 16 to 17: 8%, 18 or more HD rocks!: 6%

Action history:

Created Wed 8th Jul 5:31pm PST by

tuff_sledding [Power User]

Suspended Thu 24th Sep 12:59pm PST : Suspend date reached

Settlement requested Thu 1st Oct 2:02am PST by

hfl13

: Please settle with internal Q3 stats.

Settlement requested Thu 1st Oct 2:03am PST by

tuff_sledding [Power User]

: 10 players achieved that distinction.
PS, I should have specified 1 min before midnight - forgot that the old board disappears for the regular users after midnight - but you have access to it. When I checked late last night, it was not a close call.
thanks

Settled as '10 to 11' Thu 1st Oct 2:29am PST by