Created Wed 8th Jul 5:57pm PST by

How many Hubdubbers will achieve a quarterly gain of 100,000 or more in Q3 2009?

Settled as 31 to 35

Background: There are a lot of "rich" Hubdubbers, but not everybody is playing or winning. Last quarter, 13 players gained a quarter of a million and about 50 gained 50,000 H$. I did not track how many made 100,000, but the number probably was around 20-25. There should be more this quarter, as there are now more high net worth hubdubbers and we all know that the rich get richer. Currently, there are already 4 who have gained over 100,000 and 10 who are 50,000 richer since June 30. We are only a bit more than a week into the 3rd quarter!
The question is: how many will have gained at least 100,000 H$ in the third quarter of 09? The market will suspend one week prior.

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source. In case no mainstream source reports Hubdub gains, we will go with the Quarterly Gain Leaderboard as of 06:00 on October 1st: http://www.hubdub.com/p/Leaders?page=2

Forecast history %

20 or less stuck in neutral

21 to 25

26 to 30

31 to 35

86%

36 to 40

10%

41 to 45

46 to 50

51 to 55

56 or more HD rocks!

Settled as 31 to 35 on Thu 1st Oct 2:29am PST

Activity: H$22,006
Predictions: 44
Comments: 4

Suspend date: Thu 24th Sep 12:59pm PST
Settlement date: Thu 1st Oct 2:29am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 24th Sep 12:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: 20 or less stuck in neutral: 6%, 21 to 25: 8%, 26 to 30: 12%, 31 to 35: 15%, 36 to 40: 18%, 41 to 45: 15%, 46 to 50: 12%, 51 to 55: 8%, 56 or more HD rocks!: 6%

Action history:

Created Wed 8th Jul 5:57pm PST by

tuff_sledding [Power User]

Suspended Thu 24th Sep 12:59pm PST : Suspend date reached

Settlement requested Thu 1st Oct 2:01am PST by

hfl13

: Please settle with internal Q3 stats.

Settlement requested Thu 1st Oct 2:14am PST by

tuff_sledding [Power User]

: I believe the winner is 31-35.
I should have specified 1 min before midnight - forgot that the old board disappears for the regular users after midnight - but you have access to it. When I checked late last night, it was pretty clear that's where we were headed. I was trying to make it a more convenient time, but did not quite think it through. I hope folks are not upset if they cannot directly verify the numbers themselves.
thanks

Settled as '31 to 35' Thu 1st Oct 2:29am PST by