Created Thu 9th Jul 5:07pm PST by 
fingers_of_fury
fingers_of_fury 
Will the Swine Flu infect more than one-tenth of one percent of the worlds pig population in 2009?
Background:
Pigs at risk from people as new flu spreads
LONDON (Reuters) - There is a growing risk that pigs will catch the new H1N1 flu strain -- commonly known as swine flu -- from humans, German researchers said on Thursday.
Widespread transmission from people to pigs could mix up virus strains further, leading to unpredictable changes in the disease.
There have already been a handful of suspected cases of humans passing the current pandemic H1N1 virus to swine. The latest German research confirms it is infectious to pigs and can spread rapidly.
"With the increasing numbers of human infections, a spill-over of this human virus to pigs is becoming more likely," Vahlenkamp said.
"The prevention of human-to-pig transmissions should have a high priority in order to avoid involvement of pigs in the epidemiology of this pandemic."
Encouragingly, though, while the virus spread quickly among the pigs, it did not spread to five chickens housed with them.
http://www.reuters.com/article/scienceNews/idUSTRE5687MZ20090709
World Domestic Pig Population:
2,000,000,000 (July 2009 est.)
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pig
This market concerns DOMESTIC pigs only
Pigs at risk from people as new flu spreads
LONDON (Reuters) - There is a growing risk that pigs will catch the new H1N1 flu strain -- commonly known as swine flu -- from humans, German researchers said on Thursday.
Widespread transmission from people to pigs could mix up virus strains further, leading to unpredictable changes in the disease.
There have already been a handful of suspected cases of humans passing the current pandemic H1N1 virus to swine. The latest German research confirms it is infectious to pigs and can spread rapidly.
"With the increasing numbers of human infections, a spill-over of this human virus to pigs is becoming more likely," Vahlenkamp said.
"The prevention of human-to-pig transmissions should have a high priority in order to avoid involvement of pigs in the epidemiology of this pandemic."
Encouragingly, though, while the virus spread quickly among the pigs, it did not spread to five chickens housed with them.
http://www.reuters.com/article/scienceNews/idUSTRE5687MZ20090709
World Domestic Pig Population:
2,000,000,000 (July 2009 est.)
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pig
Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Forecast history %
| Yes |
| ||||
| No |
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Question suspends in 5 weeks
- Activity: H$43,507 |
- Predictions: 29 |
Comments: 11
Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 3:59pm PST (5 weeks to go)
Initial likelihoods: Yes: 33%
Action history:
Created Thu 9th Jul 5:07pm PST by fingers_of_fury
fingers_of_fury 
Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 3:59pm PST (5 weeks to go) details 
Get widget!Predictions (29)
rant_zone
predicted No (H$20 at 34%)
predicted Yes (H$4,500 at 62%)
letmewinplees
tuff_sledding![[Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif "This user is a super user"){kind=icon}
predicted No (H$600 at 61%)Comments (11)
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I could have phrased the question as:
Will the Human Flu infect more than one-tenth of one percent of the worlds pig population in 2009?
oink! settlement details from wikipedia! Erik, do something!
The market concerns pigs.
Kinda fitting, I'd say.
http://www.reuters.com/article/scienceNews/idUSTRE5687MZ20090709?feedType=RSS&feedName=scienceNews&rpc=22&sp=true
LONDON (Reuters) - There is a growing risk that pigs will catch the new H1N1 flu strain -- commonly known as swine flu -- from humans, German researchers said on Thursday.
Widespread transmission from people to pigs could mix up virus strains further, leading to unpredictable changes in the disease.
There have already been a handful of suspected cases of humans passing the current pandemic H1N1 virus to swine. The latest German research confirms it is infectious to pigs and can spread rapidly.
Thomas Vahlenkamp and colleagues from the Friedrich Loeffler Institute, Germany's national research center for animal health, experimentally infected five pigs with the new flu.
Four days later, the virus had spread to three uninfected pigs housed with them and all the pigs showed clinical signs of disease, they reported in the Journal of General Virology.
"With the increasing numbers of human infections, a spill-over of this human virus to pigs is becoming more likely," Vahlenkamp said.
[More at the link...]
http://www.cdc.gov/h1n1flu/key_facts.htm
NOT QUITE....
If you read the article carefully, it says that 30% carry antibody evidence of having HAD flu SOMETIME in the past. The article does NOT say that they are infected at this time OR that they have or have had flu in 2009...
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