Created Sun 12th Jul 7:24am PST by

oppland Level 1, Newbie (H$41)

What will Idaho baby sitter Summer Nelson's sentence be for having sex with a minor?

Background: "POST FALLS, Idaho (AP) — An Idaho woman face charges that she had sex with a 14-year-old boy that she was hired to watch in August 2007.

KXLY-TV reported Tuesday that 28-year-old Summer Nelson, of Post Falls, was charged Monday with four counts of lewd conduct with a child.

Court records say Nelson was a friend of the boy's mother. Police say the abuse was reported in December 2008, after the boy's mother grew suspicious of Nelson's attention Nelson toward the boy.

Investigators say Nelson told the boy's siblings that she was in love with their brother. Detectives say Nelson and the boy had at least four sexual encounters."
- Associated Press / http://www.latimes.com/news/nationworld/nation/wire/sns-ap-us-babysitter-sex,1,6733417.story

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Forecast history %

Less than 12 months in county jail

10%

1 to 5 years prison term

24%

5 or more years prison term

No prison or jail, just probation and restitution

She will be found not guilty

Life sentence with a chance of parole

Life sentence with no chance of parole

The case will be dropped or dismissed

No outcome by settlement date

48%

Question suspends in 7 weeks

Activity: H$7,615
Predictions: 33
Comments: 6

Suspend date: Tue 12th Jan 2010 9am PST (7 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Less than 12 months in county jail: 20%, 1 to 5 years prison term: 25%, 5 or more years prison term: 11%, No prison or jail, just probation and restitution: 5%, She will be found not guilty: 5%, Life sentence with a chance of parole: 3%, Life sentence with no chance of parole: 1%, The case will be dropped or dismissed: 10%, No outcome by settlement date: 20%

Action history:

Created Sun 12th Jul 7:24am PST by

oppland Level 1, Newbie (H$41)

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Suspend date: Tue 12th Jan 2010 9am PST (7 weeks to go) details

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Predictions (33)

2 weeks ago

flamingo Level 11, Legend (H$18,261)

predicted No outcome by settlement date (H$500 at 45%)

8 weeks ago

travellingjake Level 9, Expert (H$9,716)

predicted No outcome by settlement date (H$50 at 42%)

14 weeks ago

frogchop Level 17, Superdubber (H$1,668,024)

predicted No outcome by settlement date (H$1,000 at 37%)

16 weeks ago

tuff_sledding [Power User]

predicted She will be found not guilty (H$50 at 2%)

16 weeks ago

tuff_sledding [Power User]

predicted No prison or jail, just probation and restitution (H$100 at 7%)

Comments (6)

oppland Level 1, Newbie (H$41)

Personally, as a 14-year-old "boy", I was praying daily that my babysitter would find it in her heart to molest me. It's my personal opinion that society is trying to legislate morality for politically correct reasons. I understand that there are ground rules like this for a reason but the idea that this 14-year-old boy is going to be "destroyed" by this event strikes me as unlikely. It's far more likely that he will look back on it with nostalgia and a sense of self-pride. Just maybe?...

posted 18 weeks ago

blacksoapman Level 10, Genius (H$12,308)

I never had a babysitter when i was 14yr old but if i did I would want one like this LOL :-)

posted 18 weeks ago

cookietime Level 15, Seer (H$292,486)

Seems a crazy thing to have to go to jail for - as oppland says, its a victimless crime!!

posted 18 weeks ago

oppland Level 1, Newbie (H$41)

As an interesting side note, it's worth mentioning that if a man were to commit the same offence, public opinion would be decidedly more harsh despite the fact that girls on average mature emotionally before their teenage boy counterparts. Yet somehow, when woman in their late 20ies to 40ies "have relationships" with younger boys, the public view of the crime is a little different. While it's viewed as a crime nonetheless, it's arguably viewed as less of a crime when it's committed by a woman versus a man. Personally, I think each and every case needs to be analyzed in its original context as not all "sex offenders" are the same. Some people that get charged as sex offenders are no more likely to sexual assault someone than the average population. It just happens that they were unlucky enough to live in a very PC time where there is little to no room for exceptions. The world in essence is treating as a Cookie-cutter world where all crimes are lumped into general categories, despite their variance in severity and circumstances.

Here's 3 interesting links showing the commonness of this type of "crime":
http://www.ajc.com/metro/content/metro/stories/2009/07/09/coweta_mom_statutory.html
http://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/news/article.cfm?c_id=1&objectid=10362795
http://www.canadiancrc.com/Newspaper_Articles/Chronicle_Herald_newspaper_Babysitter_jailed_sexual_assault_boy_29JAN08.aspx

posted 18 weeks ago

tgallag2 Level 13, Psychic (H$55,940)

I prayed for a babysitter to show me the ways of the world. Never happened. Anything more than a slap on the wrist would be a shame. If she is pretty and remorseful she should get probation. Certainly it is a double standard even if for example the 14 year old girl totally came onto the 28 year old guy.

posted 18 weeks ago

oppland Level 1, Newbie (H$41)

"If she is pretty and remorseful she should get probation"

If she is pretty she should get a reward and a pay raise from this kid's mom.

posted 18 weeks ago