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Will Michigan's unemployment rate reach 20% in 2009?

Background: As of May 2009, Michigan's unemployment rate is 13.9%.

Current statistics for Michigan:
http://tinyurl.com/lyqndt

US Department of Labor: Bureau of Labor Statistics:
http://www.bls.gov/bls/unemployment.htm

Congressman: Michigan could hit 20% jobless thanks to Obama
July 11, 2009 | The Hill | by Michael O'Brien

Michigan's unemployment rate could hit as high as 20 percent with the Obama administration to blame, one Michigan congressman warned Friday. Rep. Thaddeus McCotter (R-Mich.) said that Michigan's unemployment — already the highest in the country at 14.1 percent — could go even higher as General Motors and Chrysler continue to shed jobs after their government-financed bankruptcies.

"Sadly, we've seen estimates, because of the radical restructuring that the auto task force demanded, that this year, Michigan wind up over 20 percent unemployment," McCotter said during an appearance on a conservative news radio program. The Wolverine State hasn't yet exceeded its previous record for unemployment in modern history, when it reached 16.9 percent in November of 1982.

CatEd's Notation: This question will remain open until 12/31, but the settlement information (the unemployment rate for December) will probably be released sometime in January, or perhaps later. Again, this will not be settled finally until the December numbers are known.

If however, it is reasonable to settle earlier, based upon the known data, settlement may occur early in January, or even before if the 20% mark is hit before the end of the year.

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Yes
7%
No
93%
Question suspends in 5 weeks
 

Predictions (41)

11 hours ago
tuff_sledding[Power User] predicted No (H$8,000 at 92%)
11 hours ago
tuff_sledding[Power User] predicted No (H$5,000 at 89%)
3 weeks ago
tuff_sledding[Power User] predicted No (H$2,000 at 86%)
3 weeks ago
tuff_sledding[Power User] predicted No (H$2,000 at 85%)
8 weeks ago
beshcooper predicted No (H$20 at 84%)

Comments (1)

  1 lola
Unemployment in MI is up to 15.9% for July 2009.
posted 11 weeks ago

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