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What will be the status of the nuclear power plant in Krümmel/Germany by July 2010?

Background: On July 4th, the AKW Krümmel (east of Hamburg) had been deactivated due to a transformator-problem.
The owner, Vattenfall, has been accused of being unable to properly handle the plant and political demands have been voiced that Krümmel should be taken off the grid prior to the scheduled date in 2016.
At the moment, the plant is being thoroughly inspected and, according to Vattenfall, won't be switched on again prior to April 2010.

What will Krümmel's status be in a year, by July 15th, 2010?

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Closed down for good.
9%
Still being inspected, but not closed down.
23%
Producing energy.
68%
Question suspends in 25 weeks

Suspend date: Sat 15th May 2010 7:59am PST (25 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Closed down for good.: 35%, Still being inspected, but not closed down.: 40%, Producing energy.: 25%

Action history:

Created Tue 14th Jul 12:51am PST by hoernla

Suspend date: Sat 15th May 2010 7:59am PST (25 weeks to go) details

 

Predictions (11)

2 weeks ago
hoernla predicted Producing energy. (H$455 at 63%)
2 weeks ago
bernardo predicted Producing energy. (H$2,000 at 52%)
18 weeks ago
hoernla predicted Closed down for good. (H$379 at 19%)
18 weeks ago
bernardo predicted Producing energy. (H$1,000 at 42%)
18 weeks ago
turbophon predicted Closed down for good. (H$200 at 18%)

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