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Will the Republicans field a candidate to run against Senator Chuck Schumer in 2010?

Background: From Wikipedia:
Chuck Schumer, former chair of the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee, is widely expected to seek a third term.[1] In 2004, he handily defeated Assemblyman Howard Mills. Schumer is highly popular in New York, so no serious Republican contenders are likely to run against him,[2] and Schumer is heavily favored to retain his seat.[3]

There will also be a United States Senate special election in New York, 2010, to fill the Senate seat vacated by Hillary Rodham Clinton, who became the United States Secretary of State on January 21, 2009. In addition, there will be the New York gubernatorial election, 2010. The existence of two other top-level statewide races will likely lead major New York Republicans to gravitate towards them rather than challenge Schumer

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Yes
70%
No
30%
Question suspends in 16 weeks

Suspend date: Sun 14th Mar 2010 11:59pm PST (16 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%

Action history:

Created Tue 14th Jul 10:49am PST by cherryice1988

Suspend date: Sun 14th Mar 2010 11:59pm PST (16 weeks to go) details

 

Predictions (6)

18 weeks ago
mcoen predicted Yes (H$5,000 at 66%)

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