Created Sat 18th Jul 2009 7:23am PST by

youbet Level 14, Prophet (H$228,459)

President Obama Primetime Press Conf. 7/22/09: Will he name former USA Presidents ?

Settled as Names 1 former US President

Background: How many times will Obama name a former US President during the entire press conference, including questions ?

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Forecast history %

Names 1 former US President

34%

Names 2 former US Presidents

Names 3 or more former Presidents

Names no former President at all

56%

Settled as Names 1 former US President on Thu 23rd Jul 2009 10:06am PST

Activity: H$30,122
Predictions: 140
Comments: 14

Suspend date: Wed 22nd Jul 2009 3pm PST
Settlement date: Thu 23rd Jul 2009 10:06am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 22nd Jul 2009 3pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Names 1 former US President: 40%, Names 2 former US Presidents: 18%, Names 3 or more former Presidents: 2%, Names no former President at all: 40%

Action history:

Created Sat 18th Jul 2009 7:23am PST by

youbet Level 14, Prophet (H$228,459)

Changed Suspend date Wed 22nd Jul 2009 2:14pm PST by

destry [Admin]

: was: "2009-07-22 17:00:00"

Suspended Wed 22nd Jul 2009 3pm PST : Suspend date reached

Settlement requested Wed 22nd Jul 2009 8:04pm PST by

dieseldog Level 16, Oracle (H$727,599)

: bush was the only one i heard.

part 1 - http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1S1Q-NSePGg

part 2 - http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8-2eA3e9jYE

Settlement requested Thu 23rd Jul 2009 7:58am PST by

jake

: He used the words "Bush Administration"

http://www.cnn.com/2009/POLITICS/07/22/transcript.obama/index.html

Settled as 'Names 1 former US President' Thu 23rd Jul 2009 10:06am PST by

destry [Admin]

Settled as 'Names 1 former US President' Thu 23rd Jul 2009 10:06am PST by

destry [Admin]

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Predictions (140)

34 weeks ago

alexjorn Level 8, Super-Pro (H$5,841)

predicted Names 2 former US Presidents (H$50 at 6%)

34 weeks ago

deelilley Level 15, Seer (H$439,206)

predicted Names 2 former US Presidents (H$20 at 5%)

34 weeks ago

kennyk Level 17, Superdubber (H$1,108,083)

predicted Names 1 former US President (H$500 at 35%)

34 weeks ago

travellingjake Level 10, Genius (H$11,686)

predicted Names no former President at all (H$20 at 58%)

34 weeks ago

schenz Level 12, Guru (H$25,720)

predicted Names no former President at all (H$100 at 58%)

Comments (14)

buckeyetom Level 17, Superdubber (H$1,709,428)

Does it matter how a President's name is used? For example: If he says, "I was talking to Michelle yesterday in the Lincoln bedroom and she said...."

Would that be one for Lincoln? Would that count as one President being named?

posted 34 weeks ago

youbet Level 14, Prophet (H$228,459)

Didnt think about that frankly.
But my idea is that would not count as he is naming a bedroom, as in Hoover dam he names a dam, not a president.

posted 34 weeks ago

buckeyetom Level 17, Superdubber (H$1,709,428)

Youbet. It should be no matter what the context is. That is what your predessorsers did.

posted 34 weeks ago

buckeyetom Level 17, Superdubber (H$1,709,428)

My spelling sucked, But you get the the point.

posted 34 weeks ago

cici

@Bucky - blame it on Jennie, I always do.

posted 34 weeks ago

youbet Level 14, Prophet (H$228,459)

Eg. " Hoover built a dam ", then he names a president.
The fact that the dam is named after Hoover was a nice 'gesture' towards Hoover but is not what I had and have in mind with this Q , and for more, I think it becomes irrational and confusing.

Eg. it gets worse in the case of " our beloved and remembered -John, son- of Joe and Rose.
In my opinion that would count as 1 for Kennedy, in yours it would count 2, for Kennedy and Johnson.

posted 34 weeks ago

buckeyetom Level 17, Superdubber (H$1,709,428)

Ok youbet, you win. I only brought it up because when I use the "Find" function to search the pages of Obama's speeches it's easier to count the words we are looking for if we don't have to read for the context as well.

posted 34 weeks ago

tahmkat3d Level 1, Newbie (H$81)

Bush,Cleveland and Washington he mentioned

posted 34 weeks ago

ladylara Level 13, Psychic (H$63,741)

Really? I didn't hear any, voted on 2, and never had so much fun watching a speech! Lots of $ riding on that tie color- teeheeteehee... But seriously, I am pleased with the health care debate and the strength Obama showed. Fantastic speaker!

posted 34 weeks ago

youbet Level 14, Prophet (H$228,459)

In my opinion, and as I had in mind, Cleveland and Washington dont count because he didnt mean former Presidents.
He mentioned the "Bush administration" which is an adminstration, but its synonymous with President Bush. That, IMO again, would settle as 1.

posted 34 weeks ago

firechild Level 13, Psychic (H$52,156)

Hey, weren't there TWO "Bush administrations"? ;-P

posted 34 weeks ago

ladylara Level 13, Psychic (H$63,741)

Good call. great question.. And I still lost.

posted 34 weeks ago

darksenrine Level 1, Newbie (H$65)

I bet $1000 on him naming no presidents... my "life" savings...

posted 34 weeks ago

ladylara Level 13, Psychic (H$63,741)

Sorry! It takes time to build up to 1000 bets.. At least you get a daily 20 just to see what else is going on.