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Which Building Sociey will first lose independence, through takeover/merger/collapse.

Background: This includes part demutualisation as per West Bromwich Building Society, Collapse with FSA bailout and Demutualisaion as per Northern Rock and Merger as in Barnsley Building Society. I have picked to the end of the financial year as the finishing post. I have excluded Nationwide as they are too big to fall.

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Chelsea
16%
Coventry
10%
Leeds
5%
Nottingham
10%
Kent Relliance
10%
Newcastle
17%
Principality
10%
Skipton
5%
Yorkshire
5%
Norwich & Peterborough
15%
Question suspends in 19 weeks

Suspend date: Mon 5th Apr 2010 3:59pm PST (19 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Chelsea: 15%, Coventry: 10%, Leeds: 5%, Nottingham: 10%, Kent Relliance: 10%, Newcastle: 15%, Principality: 10%, Skipton: 5%, Yorkshire: 5%, Norwich & Peterborough: 15%

Action history:

Created Tue 21st Jul 9:22am PST by mariegriffiths
Changed Question text Tue 21st Jul 11:13pm PST by bayoubear[Admin]: ... will first lose independence, through takeover/merger

Suspend date: Mon 5th Apr 2010 3:59pm PST (19 weeks to go) details

 

Predictions (2)

2 weeks ago
jank predicted Newcastle (H$100 at 16%)
12 weeks ago
mariegriffiths predicted Chelsea (H$50 at 15%)

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