Net worth: H$1,000
Guest:Cash: hd$1,000   Predictions: hd$0
You currently have hd$1,000 (Hubdub dollars), Hubdub's virtual currency, to stake on your predictions. Your predictions are currently worth hd$0
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When will Hubdub crack the 27,500 user mark?

Background: So, the 22,500 mark has been reached today. The 25,000 user question is out there for you to wager on. How about reaching 27,500 users? As I write, there are 22,502 users shown on the leaderboards. How long will it take to get the next 5,000 users? We went from 21,000 to 22,500 in exactly one month! The question simply asks: When will Hubdub reach 27,500 users, as shown on the leaderboard for total net worth?
You simply need to go to the leaderboard and click on the last block (currently 1126) and see the current total.

Settlement details:As shown on the hubdub net worth leaderboard.

 
Forecast history %
September, 2009 or before
0%
October, 2009
0%
November, 2009
1%
December, 2009
2%
January, 2010
23%
February, 2010
39%
March 2010 or beyond or never
35%
Question suspends in 10 weeks

Suspend date: Sun 31st Jan 2010 8:59pm PST (10 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: September, 2009 or before: 7%, October, 2009: 14%, November, 2009: 18%, December, 2009: 22%, January, 2010: 18%, February, 2010: 14%, March 2010 or beyond or never: 7%

Action history:

Created Wed 22nd Jul 6pm PST by tuff_sledding[Power User]

Suspend date: Sun 31st Jan 2010 8:59pm PST (10 weeks to go) details

 

Predictions (128)

3 days ago
tuff_sledding[Power User] predicted February, 2010 (H$800 at 34%)
3 days ago
tuff_sledding[Power User] predicted January, 2010 (H$500 at 21%)
3 days ago
majorgeeky predicted March 2010 or beyond or never (H$50 at 43%)
1 week ago
bipedprimate predicted December, 2009 (H$50 at 9%)
1 week ago
wahsfrog predicted March 2010 or beyond or never (H$100 at 46%)

Comments (7)

  1 charlesf
I am glad that you specified which leaderboard because I just noticed that they each have a different number of members. Can anyone explain why they are different?
posted 16 weeks ago
  2 charlesf
I see that poor derekben7 is the only member without a star. Maybe -73 H$ doesn't merit a star but since he is destined to spend the rest of Hubdub eternity at the bottom of the net worth leaderboard would anyone in the graphics department be able to come up with an appropriate icon for him? If not a star, how about a moon? Be creative.
posted 16 weeks ago
  3 hfl13
25007
posted 6 weeks ago
@ cahrles: derekben is some kind of an anomaly. Normally, the numbers will not go below 0. Nobody knows what to do with him. Some have suggested that he should be compelled to log in for four days to receive his daily bonus and repay his debt to society :-) Instead of a star, he should have a sad face...
As for why the two totals are different - I don't know for sure, but I suspect the quarterly gain board tracks only players whose accounts are open and the Net worth includes all accounts that ever were registered, even if they were deleted subsequently by the Administrators. The Admin's have the power to delete anyone deemed to be merely a spammer (there are many who create accounts for the purpose of spamming) or anyone whose transgressions against the rules are egregious and repeated. (Superusers don't - lest somebody complains to me)
posted 5 weeks ago
  5 charlesf
Now derekben7 can breath a sigh of relief. No longer in last place. The new guy still has some active predictions but probably not enough to get back to even.

25461 tia361 0
25462 derekben7 -73
25463 henryrobertshaw -2,554
posted 3 weeks ago
  6 charlesf
Now it seems that we are going backwards. Can anyone explain this one?

25446 datnative88 0
25447 derekben7 -73
25448 henryrobertshaw -2,600
posted 3 weeks ago
Nov. 21, 2009: 25,881
posted 17 hours ago

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