Created Fri 24th Jul 6:27am PST by

stepher Level 10, Genius (H$12,583)

How Many More New Jersey Corruption Arrests Will There Be in 2009?

Background: With corruption arrests in New Jersey reaching a ridiculous level over the last few years (30 public officials and rabbis arrested yesterday), it is safe to assume there will probably be more this year. How many more CORRUPTION-RELATED arrests will be made this year from 7/24/09 through 12/31/09?

http://www.nj.com/news/index.ssf/corruption_in_nj/

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source

Forecast history %

0-5

21%

6-10

19%

11-20

19%

21-50

21%

More than 50

20%

Question suspends in 5 weeks

Activity: H$1,862
Predictions: 10
Comments: 3

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (5 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: 0-5: 20%, 6-10: 20%, 11-20: 20%, 21-50: 20%, More than 50: 20%

Action history:

Created Fri 24th Jul 6:27am PST by

stepher Level 10, Genius (H$12,583)

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Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (5 weeks to go) details

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Predictions (10)

2 weeks ago

modigs2000 Level 7, Pro (H$3,080)

predicted 0-5 (H$20 at 21%)

7 weeks ago

infdaze Level 5, Predictor (H$1,635)

predicted 0-5 (H$50 at 21%)

11 weeks ago

bout3fitty Level 15, Seer (H$376,022)

predicted 0-5 (H$548 at 24%)

11 weeks ago

wcorsar Level 9, Expert (H$8,204)

predicted 21-50 (H$50 at 20%)

17 weeks ago

horsefeathers Level 12, Guru (H$34,355)

predicted 21-50 (H$100 at 20%)

Comments (3)

stepher Level 10, Genius (H$12,583)

A clarification - # of arrests from 7/24/09 through 12/31/09 - this does not include arrests already made this year. It was also pointed out to me that 44 people were actually arrested yesterday (not 30).

posted 17 weeks ago

stepher Level 10, Genius (H$12,583)

http://www.nj.com/news/index.ssf/2009/08/waterfront_commission_official.html

posted 14 weeks ago

stepher Level 10, Genius (H$12,583)

Add 15 to the count:

http://www.nj.com/news/index.ssf/2009/09/former_atlantic_city_mayoral_c.html

http://www.nj.com/news/index.ssf/2009/09/east_orange_construction_offic.html

posted 11 weeks ago