Created Fri 24th Jul 2009 6:27am PST by

stepher Level 12, Guru (H$31,237)

How Many More New Jersey Corruption Arrests Will There Be in 2009?

Settled as 0-5

We were unable to find news of any further corruption-related arrests after July's sting. (But please let us know if you have knowledge of any).

Background:

Background: With corruption arrests in New Jersey reaching a ridiculous level over the last few years (30 public officials and rabbis arrested yesterday), it is safe to assume there will probably be more this year. How many more CORRUPTION-RELATED arrests will be made this year from 7/24/09 through 12/31/09?

http://www.nj.com/news/index.ssf/corruption_in_nj/

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source

Forecast history %

0-5

22%

6-10

19%

11-20

19%

21-50

21%

More than 50

20%

Settled as 0-5 on Mon 4th Jan 5:06am PST

Activity: H$1,934
Predictions: 12
Comments: 3

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 2009 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Mon 4th Jan 5:06am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 31st Dec 2009 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: 0-5: 20%, 6-10: 20%, 11-20: 20%, 21-50: 20%, More than 50: 20%

Action history:

Created Fri 24th Jul 2009 6:27am PST by

stepher Level 12, Guru (H$31,237)

Suspended Thu 31st Dec 2009 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached

Settlement requested Sun 3rd Jan 6:19pm PST by

modigs2000 Level 13, Psychic (H$51,339)

: As 2009 is over, we should have the answer. I haven't heard of any, but I defer to the experts.

Settled as '0-5' Mon 4th Jan 5:06am PST by

sqlman [Admin]

: We were unable to find news of any further corruption-related arrests after July's sting. (But please let us know if you have knowledge of any).

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Predictions (12)

11 weeks ago

modigs2000 Level 13, Psychic (H$51,339)

predicted 0-5 (H$50 at 22%)

11 weeks ago

modigs2000 Level 13, Psychic (H$51,339)

predicted 0-5 (H$22 at 21%)

19 weeks ago

modigs2000 Level 13, Psychic (H$51,339)

predicted 0-5 (H$20 at 21%)

24 weeks ago

infdaze Level 5, Predictor (H$1,806)

predicted 0-5 (H$50 at 21%)

28 weeks ago

bout3fitty Level 15, Seer (H$387,238)

predicted 0-5 (H$548 at 24%)

Comments (3)

stepher Level 12, Guru (H$31,237)

A clarification - # of arrests from 7/24/09 through 12/31/09 - this does not include arrests already made this year. It was also pointed out to me that 44 people were actually arrested yesterday (not 30).

posted 34 weeks ago

stepher Level 12, Guru (H$31,237)

http://www.nj.com/news/index.ssf/2009/08/waterfront_commission_official.html

posted 31 weeks ago

stepher Level 12, Guru (H$31,237)

Add 15 to the count:

http://www.nj.com/news/index.ssf/2009/09/former_atlantic_city_mayoral_c.html

http://www.nj.com/news/index.ssf/2009/09/east_orange_construction_offic.html

posted 28 weeks ago