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How Many More New Jersey Corruption Arrests Will There Be in 2009?

Background: With corruption arrests in New Jersey reaching a ridiculous level over the last few years (30 public officials and rabbis arrested yesterday), it is safe to assume there will probably be more this year. How many more CORRUPTION-RELATED arrests will be made this year from 7/24/09 through 12/31/09?

http://www.nj.com/news/index.ssf/corruption_in_nj/

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source

 
Forecast history %
0-5
21%
6-10
19%
11-20
19%
21-50
21%
More than 50
20%
Question suspends in 5 weeks

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (5 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: 0-5: 20%, 6-10: 20%, 11-20: 20%, 21-50: 20%, More than 50: 20%

Action history:

Created Fri 24th Jul 6:27am PST by stepher

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (5 weeks to go) details

 

Predictions (10)

2 weeks ago
modigs2000 predicted 0-5 (H$20 at 21%)
7 weeks ago
infdaze predicted 0-5 (H$50 at 21%)
11 weeks ago
bout3fitty predicted 0-5 (H$548 at 24%)
11 weeks ago
wcorsar predicted 21-50 (H$50 at 20%)
17 weeks ago
horsefeathers predicted 21-50 (H$100 at 20%)

Comments (3)

  1 stepher
A clarification - # of arrests from 7/24/09 through 12/31/09 - this does not include arrests already made this year. It was also pointed out to me that 44 people were actually arrested yesterday (not 30).
posted 17 weeks ago

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