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Where will the London FTSE close on the last trading day of 2009?

Background: The FTSE 100 has had a rough year, like all stock indexes. It started the year at about 4600, dipped to a low of 3461 and has clawed its way roughly back up to where it started the year. The 52 wk range is 3,460.70 - 5,649.10. So, where do we go from here?

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source. finance.yahoo.com works for me.

 
Forecast history %
below 4000
2%
4000 - 4249.99
2%
4250 - 4499.99
2%
4500 - 4749.99
3%
4750 - 4999.99
7%
5000 - 5249.99
11%
5250 - 5499.99
39%
5500 or more
32%
Question suspends in 3 weeks

Suspend date: Tue 15th Dec 8:59pm PST (3 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: below 4000: 5%, 4000 - 4249.99: 10%, 4250 - 4499.99: 15%, 4500 - 4749.99: 20%, 4750 - 4999.99: 20%, 5000 - 5249.99: 15%, 5250 - 5499.99: 10%, 5500 or more: 5%

Action history:

Created Sat 25th Jul 8:06am PST by tuff_sledding[Power User]

Suspend date: Tue 15th Dec 8:59pm PST (3 weeks to go) details

 

Predictions (78)

5 days ago
wwwifabz predicted 5500 or more (H$20 at 42%)
5 days ago
cmcooper63 predicted 5500 or more (H$40 at 42%)
6 days ago
wwwifabz predicted 5500 or more (H$20 at 42%)
1 week ago
oocares predicted 5500 or more (H$50 at 41%)
1 week ago
wwwifabz predicted 5500 or more (H$1,000 at 28%)

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