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What will be the highest close for the London FTSE in 2009?

Background: The FTSE 100 has had a rough year, like all stock indexes. It started the year at about 4600, dipped to a low of 3461 and has clawed its way roughly back up to where it started the year. The 52 wk range is 3,460.70 - 5,649.10. So, where do we go from here? The question asks for the highest closing value this year, regardless of where the index finishes the year.

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source. finance.yahoo.com works for me.

 
Forecast history %
below 4600
0%
4600 - 4749.99
0%
4750 - 4999.99
0%
5000 - 5249.99
0%
5250 - 5499.99
88%
5500 - 5749.99
7%
5750 - 5999.99
5%
6000 or more
0%
Question suspends in 3 weeks

Suspend date: Tue 15th Dec 8:59pm PST (3 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: below 4600: 1%, 4600 - 4749.99: 15%, 4750 - 4999.99: 25%, 5000 - 5249.99: 20%, 5250 - 5499.99: 16%, 5500 - 5749.99: 12%, 5750 - 5999.99: 8%, 6000 or more: 3%

Action history:

Created Sat 25th Jul 8:33am PST by tuff_sledding[Power User]

Suspend date: Tue 15th Dec 8:59pm PST (3 weeks to go) details

 

Predictions (101)

6 days ago
roofrabbit predicted 5250 - 5499.99 (H$20 at 45%)
1 week ago
jank predicted 5250 - 5499.99 (H$100 at 40%)
1 week ago
jank predicted 6000 or more (H$100 at 1%)
1 week ago
tuff_sledding[Power User] predicted 5500 - 5749.99 (H$800 at 32%)
2 weeks ago
tuff_sledding[Power User] predicted 5500 - 5749.99 (H$200 at 25%)

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