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What will be the margin of victory at the 2010 Ryder Cup?

Background: http://www.rydercup.com/2010/index.html

Past Margins:
2008: 5
2006: 9
2004: 9
2002: 3
1999: 1

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Tie
3%
1
9%
2
11%
3
14%
4
16%
5
12%
6
11%
7
9%
8
7%
9 Plus
7%
Question suspends in 29 weeks

Suspend date: Sun 3rd Oct 3:59pm PST (29 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Tie: 1%, 1: 10%, 2: 10%, 3: 12%, 4: 12%, 5: 12%, 6: 12%, 7: 12%, 8: 10%, 9 Plus: 9%

Action history:

Created Fri 31st Jul 2009 1:40am PST by serendipity

Suspend date: Sun 3rd Oct 3:59pm PST (29 weeks to go) details

 

Predictions (19)

6 weeks ago
roofrabbit predicted 1 (H$20 at 10%)
6 weeks ago
roofrabbit predicted Tie (H$20 at 3%)
7 weeks ago
roofrabbit predicted 7 (H$40 at 9%)
7 weeks ago
roofrabbit predicted 8 (H$20 at 7%)
8 weeks ago
roofrabbit predicted 1 (H$50 at 10%)

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