Created Fri 31st Jul 3:01pm PST by

the_boy_wonker Level 12, Guru (H$32,417)

Will Israel Go To War With Iran Before The End of Obama's Current Term in Office?

Background: Tempers frayed, and tensions mount, but will they go to war?

http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/world/middle_east/8154141.stm

http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/world/middle_east/8059104.stm

http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/world/middle_east/7500342.stm

http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/world/middle_east/7498214.stm

http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/world/middle_east/7467164.stm

http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/world/middle_east/7465170.stm

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Category Editor Clarification: For purposes of settlement, the term "go to war" refers to:

--Air or naval strikes via missiles or artillery;
--A coordinated military ground invasion;
--A formal declaration of war toward by either country, and toward either country.

Forecast history %

Yes

44%

56%

Question suspends in 3 years

Activity: H$12,028
Predictions: 19
Comments: 3

Suspend date: Sun 20th Jan 2013 8am PST (3 years to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 35%

Action history:

Created Fri 31st Jul 3:01pm PST by

the_boy_wonker Level 12, Guru (H$32,417)

Changed Settlement info Sun 16th Aug 4:18am PST by

sqlman [Admin]

: show details

... a major mainstream news source. Category Editor Clarification: For purposes of settlement, the term "go to war" refers to: --Air or naval strikes via missiles or artillery; --A coordinated military ground invasion; --A formal declaration of war toward by either country, and toward either country.

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Suspend date: Sun 20th Jan 2013 8am PST (3 years to go) details

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Predictions (19)

8 weeks ago

albertsy2 Level 5, Predictor (H$1,797)

predicted Yes (H$100 at 43%)

8 weeks ago

bigken1 Level 15, Seer (H$357,649)

predicted Yes (H$1,000 at 42%)

8 weeks ago

oberon Level 1, Newbie (H$304)

predicted No (H$100 at 60%)

13 weeks ago

madnsue Level 5, Predictor (H$1,633)

predicted No (H$100 at 60%)

13 weeks ago

apiphanie Level 7, Pro (H$3,366)

predicted Yes (H$14 at 41%)

Comments (3)

oocares Level 13, Psychic (H$56,011)

Define 'Go to war'

Air strikes only.
Air & Navel strikes.
Ground invasion?

posted 16 weeks ago

the_boy_wonker Level 12, Guru (H$32,417)

No worries :-)

Any one of the above (or a combination thereof) constitutes an act of war, IMV, and will settle the prediction. The onus is on OVERT rather than COVERT military action.

Hope that clears things up ;-)

posted 16 weeks ago

Erik

‘Ephraim Sneh, a former Israeli deputy defence minister, warned that time was running out for action to stop the programme. “If no crippling sanctions are introduced by Christmas, Israel will strike,” he said. “If we are left alone, we will act alone.”’

http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/world/middle_east/article6860161.ece

posted 5 weeks ago