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Will any origami shuttles descend from the ISS to the Earth before the ISS is vacated?
Background: In 2008, a team of Japanese scientists announced plans to launch a paper airplane from space and have it safely land on Earth. They say that a prototype passed a durability test in a wind tunnel. The prototype was 2.8 inches long and 2 inches wide. It survived Mach 7 speeds and temperatures up to 446 degrees Fahrenheit. The airplane survived 12 seconds in the wind tunnel without any major damage or burns.
The Japanese Aerospace Exploration Agency has promised $300,000 in funding per year. A successful flight could aid in the design of future re-entry vehicles. Astronaut Koichi Wakata has stated that he is interested in throwing several of the shuttles from the International Space Station if feasible studies pan out.
On the planes, the scientists plan to write messages of peace and information on how to notify the team. The messages would be written in several different languages.
For this market to settle as yes, the shuttles:
1. must be transported to the ISS OR the paper must be transported to the ISS and assembled into shuttles by the astronauts.
2. must be launched from the ISS.
3. must survive re-entry into the atmosphere.
4. must be found by someone who can read the directions and contacts the scientists.
5. It must be reported by a mainstream news source.
Additional information:
http://dsc.discovery.com/news/2008/03/27/origami-space-plane.html
The Japanese Aerospace Exploration Agency has promised $300,000 in funding per year. A successful flight could aid in the design of future re-entry vehicles. Astronaut Koichi Wakata has stated that he is interested in throwing several of the shuttles from the International Space Station if feasible studies pan out.
On the planes, the scientists plan to write messages of peace and information on how to notify the team. The messages would be written in several different languages.
For this market to settle as yes, the shuttles:
1. must be transported to the ISS OR the paper must be transported to the ISS and assembled into shuttles by the astronauts.
2. must be launched from the ISS.
3. must survive re-entry into the atmosphere.
4. must be found by someone who can read the directions and contacts the scientists.
5. It must be reported by a mainstream news source.
Additional information:
http://dsc.discovery.com/news/2008/03/27/origami-space-plane.html
Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Forecast history %
| Yes |
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| No |
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Question suspends in 6 years
- Activity: H$4,831 |
- Predictions: 18 |
Comments: 3
Get widget!Predictions (18)
bigken1
predicted Yes (H$20 at 18%)
sdchargers
predicted Yes (H$100 at 18%)
galad
predicted No (H$20 at 83%)
theib
predicted No (H$100 at 82%)Comments (3)
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http://www.airspacemag.com/space-exploration/The_Ultimate_Paper_Airplane.html
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