Created Tue 4th Aug 1:32pm PST by 
zusiman
zusiman 
Will Spacex manage to launch the maiden flight of Falcon9 before the end of 2009?
Background: SpaceX is a private orbital rocket launch company started by internet billionaire Elon Musk with the hope of reducing the cost of spaceflight by an order of magnitude. Originally, the maiden flight was scheduled for mid 2009 but that date has already slipped. Will they make it by the end of the year?
Background: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Falcon_9
Note: This market will not be contingent on the *success* of the launch, but rather the timing.
Background: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Falcon_9
Note: This market will not be contingent on the *success* of the launch, but rather the timing.
Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Forecast history %
| Yes |
| ||||
| No |
|
Question suspends in 5 weeks
- Activity: H$23,792 |
- Predictions: 13 |
Comments: 0
Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (5 weeks to go)
Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%
Action history:
Created Tue 4th Aug 1:32pm PST by zusiman
zusiman
Changed Question text Wed 5th Aug 10:44am PST by 
jenniandboys![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin")
: show details
jenniandboys: show details ... Will Spacex managesmanage to launch the maiden flight of the Falcon9 untilbefore the end of 2009?
Changed Description Wed 5th Aug 10:44am PST by jenniandboys: show details
jenniandboys: show details ... how long the sliipage be?? <br/> <br/> Background: <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Falcon_9">http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Falcon_9</a>
Changed Description Wed 5th Aug 10:51am PST by jenniandboys: show details
jenniandboys: show details ... by an order of magnitude. As of August 2009Originally, athe first and onlymaiden flight ofwas thescheduled Falconfor 9mid is2009 scheduledbut untilthat thedate endhas ofalready the yearslipped. butWill thethey maidenmake flightit ofby the Falconend 9 was planned originally to be in mid 2009 but that slips. for how longof the sliipage be? <year?<br/> <br/> Background: <a href=" ... .wikipedia.org/wiki/Falcon_9</a>><br/> <br/> Note: This market will not be contingent on the *success* of the launch, but rather the timing.
Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (5 weeks to go) details 
Get widget!Predictions (13)
maartenkaas
predicted No (H$60 at 84%)
nuaetius
predicted No (H$444 at 73%)
predicted Yes (H$50 at 29%)Comments (0)
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