Will Spacex manage to launch the maiden flight of Falcon9 before the end of 2009?

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 2009 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Fri 1st Jan 10:03am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 31st Dec 2009 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%

Action history:

Created Tue 4th Aug 2009 1:32pm PST by zusiman

Changed Question text Wed 5th Aug 2009 10:44am PST by jenniandboys: show details

... Will Spacex managesmanage to launch the maiden flight of the Falcon9 untilbefore the end of 2009?

Changed Description Wed 5th Aug 2009 10:44am PST by jenniandboys: show details

... how long the sliipage be?? <br/> <br/> Background: <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Falcon_9">http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Falcon_9</a>

Changed Description Wed 5th Aug 2009 10:51am PST by jenniandboys: show details

... by an order of magnitude. As of August 2009Originally, athe first and onlymaiden flight ofwas thescheduled Falconfor 9mid is2009 scheduledbut untilthat thedate endhas ofalready the yearslipped. butWill thethey maidenmake flightit ofby the Falconend 9 was planned originally to be in mid 2009 but that slips. for how longof the sliipage be? <year?<br/> <br/> Background: <a href=" ... .wikipedia.org/wiki/Falcon_9</a>><br/> <br/> Note: This market will not be contingent on the *success* of the launch, but rather the timing.

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Settlement requested Fri 1st Jan 3:57am PST by elly: No such reports.

Settled as 'No' Fri 1st Jan 10:03am PST by sqlman: Didn't happen (look for it in 2010: http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/34646856/ns/technology_and_science-space/)

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Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 2009 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Fri 1st Jan 10:03am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 31st Dec 2009 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details