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Will the All Blacks sack their coach by the end of the year?

Background: The All Blacks are having a horror season, losing back to back tri-nations games and putting on poor performances against Italy and France. The current coach is an unlikeable old boot who we tolerate when the team is winning but now that they're losing the knives are out.

The coach is currently contracted until the next world cup in 2011, but if the team continues to lose it could well be the coach whose head is on the chopping block.

http://www.nzherald.co.nz/sport/news/article.cfm?c_id=4&objectid=10588741

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Yes, Graham Henry sacked
4%
No, Graham Henry keeps his job
96%
Other outcome
0%
Question suspends in 4 weeks

Suspend date: Tue 22nd Dec 11:59pm PST (4 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes, Graham Henry sacked: 40%, No, Graham Henry keeps his job: 55%, Other outcome : 5%

Action history:

Created Tue 4th Aug 5pm PST by cookietime

Suspend date: Tue 22nd Dec 11:59pm PST (4 weeks to go) details

 

Predictions (15)

1 week ago
flexy101 predicted Yes, Graham Henry sacked (H$20 at 4%)
4 weeks ago
marius predicted Yes, Graham Henry sacked (H$50 at 9%)
6 weeks ago
carpet predicted No, Graham Henry keeps his job (H$500 at 91%)
10 weeks ago
ieujam1 predicted Yes, Graham Henry sacked (H$20 at 8%)
14 weeks ago
keyeshoveden[Power User] predicted No, Graham Henry keeps his job (H$2,000 at 71%)

Comments (1)

I put other outcome in there just in case something weird happens like he gets demoted but not sacked, or they add another head coach to help him out or something. He lost the last world cup for us too, and only just managed to keep his job after that so he's not exactly flavor of the month round here right now...
posted 15 weeks ago

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