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Will the rare 5-carat pink diamond sell for more than $7 million?

Settled as Yes, the diamond sells for more than $7 mil.

"A rare five-carat diamond ring has sold for a world record $10.8m (HKD $74m) at jewellery auction in Hong Kong. "
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/asia-pacific/8389415.stm

Background:

Background: The 5-carat pink diamond will be auctioned off in Hong Kong this December. The current world auction record for a pink diamond is held by a 19.66-carat diamond that sold in Geneva for $7.4 million in 1994. Pink diamonds are among the rarest and most sought after diamonds.

http://news.yahoo.com/s/nm/20090803/lf_nm_life/us_christies_diamond

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Yes, the diamond sells for more than $7 mil.
37%
No, the diamond sells for $7 mil. or less
53%
The diamond is not sold at all
10%
Settled as Yes, the diamond sells for more than $7 mil. on Wed 2nd Dec 2009 9:58am PST

Suspend date: Tue 1st Dec 2009 7:59am PST
Settlement date: Wed 2nd Dec 2009 9:58am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 1st Dec 2009 7:59am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes, the diamond sells for more than $7 mil.: 40%, No, the diamond sells for $7 mil. or less: 50%, The diamond is not sold at all: 10%

Action history:

Created Tue 4th Aug 2009 7pm PST by dogchow_
Suspended Tue 1st Dec 2009 7:59am PST : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Tue 1st Dec 2009 2:59pm PST by ghostbuster: http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/world/asia-pacific/8389415.stm
over 7 million
Settled as 'Yes, the diamond sells for more than $7 mil.' Wed 2nd Dec 2009 9:58am PST by bayoubear[Admin]: "A rare five-carat diamond ring has sold for a world record $10.8m (HKD $74m) at jewellery auction in Hong Kong. "
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/asia-pacific/8389415.stm

Suspend date: Tue 1st Dec 2009 7:59am PST
Settlement date: Wed 2nd Dec 2009 9:58am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 1st Dec 2009 7:59am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details

 

Predictions (14)

14 weeks ago
mayank predicted No, the diamond sells for $7 mil. or less (H$45 at 53%)
14 weeks ago
ghostbuster predicted Yes, the diamond sells for more than $7 mil. (H$300 at 35%)
14 weeks ago
ghostbuster predicted Yes, the diamond sells for more than $7 mil. (H$100 at 32%)
24 weeks ago
flamingo predicted Yes, the diamond sells for more than $7 mil. (H$50 at 18%)
24 weeks ago
abysscuria predicted Yes, the diamond sells for more than $7 mil. (H$100 at 16%)

Comments (1)

http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/world/asia-pacific/8389415.stm
NEW RECORD £10,000,000
settlement requested
posted 14 weeks ago

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