Created Wed 5th Aug 2:14pm PST by

onedave [Power User]

What type of US president will next visit North Korea?

Background: On August 5, 2009, former president Bill Clinton became the second former US president to visit North Korea. During the visit, he met with Kim Jong Il to secure the release of journalists Laura Ling and Euna Lee.

In 1994, Jimmy Carter became the first former president to visit North Korea.

Additional information:
http://www.voanews.com/english/2009-08-05-voa44.cfm
http://english.yonhapnews.co.kr/northkorea/2009/08/04/89/0401000000AEN20090804005300315F.HTML

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source. Market suspend date will move accordingly until either a former or sitting president visit North Korea.

Forecast history %

former president

40%

sitting president

60%

Question suspends in 5 years

Activity: H$1,551
Predictions: 15
Comments: 10

Suspend date: Wed 5th Aug 2015 11:59pm PST (5 years to go)

Initial likelihoods: former president: 50%, sitting president: 50%

Action history:

Created Wed 5th Aug 2:14pm PST by

onedave [Power User]

Changed Description Wed 5th Aug 2:55pm PST by

destry [Admin]

: show details

... Laura Ling and Euna Lee~~. <~~. In 1994, Jimmy ... president to visit North Korea~~. <~~. Additional information~~: <~~: <a href="http://www. ... -08-05-voa44.cfm</a~~> <~~> <a href="http://english.

Changed Description Wed 5th Aug 2:55pm PST by

destry [Admin]

: show details

... Laura Ling and Euna Lee.<. In 1994, Jimmy ... president to visit North Korea.<. Additional information:<: <a href="http://www. ... -08-05-voa44.cfm</a><> <a href="http://english.

Changed Settlement info Wed 5th Aug 2:55pm PST by

destry [Admin]

: show details

... a major mainstream news source. Market suspend date will move accordingly until either a former or sitting president visit North Korea.

Changed Suspend date Wed 5th Aug 2:55pm PST by

destry [Admin]

: was: "2011-08-05 23:59:00"

hide

Suspend date: Wed 5th Aug 2015 11:59pm PST (5 years to go) details

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Predictions (15)

14 weeks ago

sdchargers [Power User]

predicted sitting president (H$100 at 58%)

14 weeks ago

galad

predicted former president (H$20 at 42%)

14 weeks ago

bout3fitty Level 15, Seer (H$386,871)

predicted sitting president (H$500 at 56%)

14 weeks ago

fourgrays Level 10, Genius (H$12,308)

predicted sitting president (H$20 at 53%)

14 weeks ago

mattbest Level 10, Genius (H$10,287)

predicted sitting president (H$10 at 53%)

Comments (10)

tuff_sledding [Power User]

We need the highly likely "none of the above" option here! (unless you wish to keep the question open indefinitely.

posted 15 weeks ago

notablenotices [Power User]

Yeah, and what about "future president"?

posted 15 weeks ago

excontender Level 12, Guru (H$48,572)

Anyone else besides me want to see GW Bush go there?

posted 15 weeks ago

kruijs [Power User]

Would the "sitting" president count as "former" president if he goes there in, let's say, 8 years?

but the "none by suspension" option is definitely missing.

posted 15 weeks ago

hfl13

Onedave is moving the suspend date tricky till it happens. No early settlement without a President in NoKo.

posted 15 weeks ago

randburg Level 19, Uberdubber (H$4,991,617)

Why would ANY president go back? The next visitor should be the Secretary of State....They'll get a Clinton one way or the other.

posted 15 weeks ago

onedave [Power User]

We will settle the question when a president visits North Korea. If it does not happen, we will simply re-open the question.

Sitting president refers to the president in office at the time of the visit.

posted 15 weeks ago

tuff_sledding [Power User]

could we add the option "when hell freezes over"?

posted 14 weeks ago

onedave [Power User]

It froze over the other day. Has it melted yet?

posted 14 weeks ago

tuff_sledding [Power User]

Sorry, I missed that. Are you referring to the elections?

posted 14 weeks ago