Created Wed 5th Aug 2009 7:16pm PST by

philculp Level 17, Superdubber (H$1,089,217)

Where will Paula Abdul sign next?

Settled as All Paula news fades away - none above by suspend

Background: Paula has been all over the news with reports of her turning down american idol and walking away. There are now reports that she may give it a go at "So you think you can dance". http://mjsbigblog.com/paula-abdul-reportedly-in-talks-with-nigel-lythgoe-plus-deal-may-not-be-dead.htm Other reports have said she may still sign with Idol.

Maybe she wants time off?

We shall see....

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Forecast history %

Paula goes dancin' - Signs w/ SYTYCD

Paula goes back to Idol

Paula signs w/ another reality show as judge/host

All Paula news fades away - none above by suspend

97%

Settled as All Paula news fades away - none above by suspend on Tue 2nd Feb 9:08am PST

Activity: H$143,758
Predictions: 250
Comments: 24

Suspend date: Mon 1st Feb 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Tue 2nd Feb 9:08am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 1st Feb 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Paula goes dancin' - Signs w/ SYTYCD: 30%, Paula goes back to Idol: 30%, Paula signs w/ another reality show as judge/host: 10%, All Paula news fades away - none above by suspend: 30%

Action history:

Created Wed 5th Aug 2009 7:16pm PST by

philculp Level 17, Superdubber (H$1,089,217)

Settlement requested Tue 25th Aug 2009 10:32am PST by

buckeyetom Level 17, Superdubber (H$1,708,814)

: Paula signed with VH 1 Divas.
Another reality show.

http://tv.yahoo.com/news/article/tv.accesshollywood.com/paula-abdul-host-vh1-divas-20090825

Suspended Tue 25th Aug 2009 1:11pm PST by

jenniandboys [Admin]

Settled as 'Paula signs w/ another reality show as judge/host' Sat 29th Aug 2009 11:03am PST by

jenniandboys [Admin]

: Paula Abdul might not be on "American Idol" any longer, but the singer is still surrounding herself with some of music's best singers - and they're all divas!
"Hi guys! im really excited 2 announce ill b hosting this year's "Vh1 Divas"! The show will be live on Sept 17th @ 9 pm EST," Paula wrote on her Twitter page Monday night.

Previous action withdrawn Sat 29th Aug 2009 4:10pm PST by

jenniandboys [Admin]

: Turns out VH1 Divas is just a concert and is not a reality show. This market will be reopened for further speculation about Paula's next step.

Suspended Mon 1st Feb 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached

Settlement requested Tue 2nd Feb 8:17am PST by

philculp Level 17, Superdubber (H$1,089,217)

: paula has not signed yet

Settled as 'All Paula news fades away - none above by suspend' Tue 2nd Feb 9:08am PST by

jenniandboys [Admin]

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Predictions (250)

8 weeks ago

christianrb1 Level 3, Apprentice (H$1,172)

predicted All Paula news fades away - none above by suspend (H$50 at 93%)

8 weeks ago

bones

predicted Paula signs w/ another reality show as judge/host (H$3 at 7%)

9 weeks ago

bbbffamily Level 1, Newbie (H$842)

predicted Paula signs w/ another reality show as judge/host (H$100 at 10%)

9 weeks ago

ghostbuster Level 14, Prophet (H$161,911)

predicted Paula signs w/ another reality show as judge/host (H$100 at 20%)

9 weeks ago

majorgeeky Level 10, Genius (H$11,143)

predicted All Paula news fades away - none above by suspend (H$100 at 78%)

Comments (24)

apeiron Level 1, Newbie (H$634)

In addition to voting what you thing WILL happen, there should be another option of what you HOPE will happen. In this case, i'd go with D.

posted 32 weeks ago

frank2877 Level 11, Legend (H$16,536)

@ apeiron, LOL!

posted 32 weeks ago

bostongraf Level 14, Prophet (H$223,422)

Do guest appearances count as "signing"? If she make one appearance on SYTYCD, does that count?

posted 32 weeks ago

jenniandboys [Admin]

@bostongraf - My first inclination is to say 'no', but I think a lot of it will depend on the language of the press release. This market is concerned with her signing a deal. I don't believe a guest appearance requires much in the way of contractual paperwork, so I would imagine it would not count. However, most of the judges on SYTYCD are also choreographers for the show. In that case, it *would* count. So, I guess we'll just have to wait and see :)

posted 32 weeks ago

randburg Level 20, Hubdub God (H$5,857,545)

bostongraf asked a good question and got a surprisingly UNCLEAR answer. A definite clarification is needed here, so that we don't end up with a OH-OH question. OK?

All television appearances involve paperwork, waivers, and an agent (in Paula Abdul's case). However, the author of this question APPEARS to have intended a question involving a regular season contract (rather than a guest appearance or two). Can this please be clarified at this time in specific settlement terms? Thanks.

posted 32 weeks ago

philculp Level 17, Superdubber (H$1,089,217)

My intent when creating the market was for it to be a permanent placement on the show, not just a guest appearance. However, I think Jenni does a great job interpreting intent. I think her explanation was right on in saying that if a firm contract is signed then the question will settle as yes, if no contract is signed then it does not count.

posted 32 weeks ago

buckeyetom Level 17, Superdubber (H$1,708,814)

Dancing with the stars seems interested in her.

posted 32 weeks ago

coolkraft Level 14, Prophet (H$158,629)

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2009/08/09/abc-wants-paula_n_254930.html

do you really think she left with no other offers available to her?

posted 32 weeks ago

philculp Level 17, Superdubber (H$1,089,217)

Won't be going to Dancing With the Stars - http://www.mtv.com/news/articles/1618846/20090817/abdul_paula.jhtml

posted 30 weeks ago

buckeyetom Level 17, Superdubber (H$1,708,814)

Paula Abdul To Host 'VH1 Divas'
Tue Aug 25, 9:14 AM PDT

posted 29 weeks ago

buckeyetom Level 17, Superdubber (H$1,708,814)

No more bets please.

posted 29 weeks ago

delawarebratboi Level 14, Prophet (H$116,586)

Just because she's hosting a Televised special concert doesn't mean she won't be going back to Idol, or do something else. She could have easily hosted something like this when she was on Idol. It's not like VH1 Divas is a series, it's more of an annual event. So I don't see how this can be settled just yet.

posted 29 weeks ago

buckeyetom Level 17, Superdubber (H$1,708,814)

This question specifically asks where will she sign next. She has signed a contract with VH 1 Divas to be a host on their show. Nowhere in the question is it inferred or implied that the show has to be a singular performance or a long running series, it only asks where will she sign next.

posted 29 weeks ago

delawarebratboi Level 14, Prophet (H$116,586)

I guess you are technically right, I'm pretty sure that most people read the question with the assumption that it was asking what her next move would be in a more permanent position and not hosting a special.

posted 29 weeks ago

tgallag2 Level 13, Psychic (H$52,994)

VH1 Divas is not a reality show! Reality shows show the lives of ordinary people, or have ordinary people doing a contest such as Survivor or American Idol. The question specifically asked about a reality show. I request another review. A concert special showing famous female singers is not a reality show.

posted 29 weeks ago

jenniandboys [Admin]

@tgallag2 - You should flag a question when you disagree with a settlement. Sometimes I miss comments...

I actually agree with you. I thought VH1 Divas was a reality show so after your comment went and looked it up again. I agree that a benefit concert should not settle this market, so I'll be reopening it.

posted 29 weeks ago

philculp Level 17, Superdubber (H$1,089,217)

Idol just signed Ellen to take the 4th seat. We can essentially rule Abdul returning there. http://blog.zap2it.com/frominsidethebox/2009/09/american-idol-ellen-degeneres-replaces-paula-abdul-as-fourth-judge.html

posted 27 weeks ago

philculp Level 17, Superdubber (H$1,089,217)

I'm beginning to think Paula made the biggest mistake of her career. Everyone is seeming to forget about her now that Ellen has signed on, and even if she gets another gig, it certainly won't be to the level (or salary) of idol.

posted 26 weeks ago

divakaleigh Level 12, Guru (H$40,280)

I noticed on last night's SYTYCD that they had a chair for Paula as a guest judge. Would that count?

posted 20 weeks ago

jenniandboys [Admin]

No, this question isn't about Paula's chair but Paula herself ;)

posted 20 weeks ago

hfl13

Paula seems to be in talks for Cowells new US SHow X-Factor.

posted 9 weeks ago

philculp Level 17, Superdubber (H$1,089,217)

@ HFL, thanks

http://www.mtv.com/news/articles/1629360/20100108/abdul_paula.jhtml

posted 9 weeks ago

imantsdimants Level 16, Oracle (H$532,733)

"All Paula news" certainly hasn't faded away!
www.newsoxy.com/dancing-with-the-stars/news-12570.html
(published Jan 30, 2010) reports:
"the Internet was buzzing with rumors that Paula Abdul, might be joining Dancing with the Stars on ABC. It is possible that she will fill the vacant Samantha Harris spot.
However, there are other speculations that she will join the show as a judge. Apparently, ABC is working on a new contract that would allow her to be on another show, while appearing on ABC. The other show is with Simon Cowell."
Problem:
News hasn't "faded away", however, she hasn't quite signed on the dotted line, yet.
Does that mean this question has to be voided?
There is no "other" option available as one of the choices.

posted 7 weeks ago

philculp Level 17, Superdubber (H$1,089,217)

lol, really? "none above by suspend date" wasn't clear enough?

posted 7 weeks ago